Monetary Policy
Europe should adopt expansionary fiscal policy, Fed's Stanley Fischer says
The ECB must continue with its ‘courageous’ supervisory and monetary policies, but they would be stronger if backed by an expansionary fiscal policy, says Stanley Fischer
Mandate change proposal would be unconstitutional, Polish governor says
Bank governor says giving the central bank a growth mandate would not be permissible under EU law; senior figures in governing party call for monetary easing programme
Economists challenge foundations of monetary economics
‘Neo-Fisherian’ approaches use standard New-Keynesian models to show that cutting interest rates will produce lower, not higher, inflation – and the result is surprisingly difficult to overturn
BoJ holds QQE fire but pushes back inflation forecast
Bank of Japan leaves asset purchase programme unchanged despite downward revision of outlook; central bank now predicts inflation target will be reached in second half of fiscal 2016
Fed rate rise given the ‘amber light’
Federal Reserve holds rates but hints there could be action at the December meeting; analysts still seeing mixed signals
Emerging markets risk ‘quantitative tightening’, Caruana says
Problems now affecting emerging markets are a continuation of global problems, head of BIS says; response by policy-makers is too reactive and based on domestic circumstances
Turkish central bank may act as inflation forecasts rise
Declining exchange rates and rising food prices have pushed inflation expectations upwards, monetary policy committee says; governor says he will raise interest rates if necessary
Tightening bank loans explains much of ‘Great Recession’ in eurozone
Tightening bank loans and increases in bond premia explain much of the recent contraction in the eurozone, paper argues
Riksbank unleashes further easing
Central bank hopes extended asset purchase programme and commitment to keep rates lower for even longer will help reinforce a gradual upward trend in growth and inflation
Adaptive learning models offer route out of liquidity traps, paper argues
An adaptive learning-based macro model shows monetary easing policies can end a liquidity trap under certain conditions; empirical studies of easing differ widely on its effects
Former Nigerian governor Sanusi attacks current central bank policy
Former governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria Sanusi Lamido Sanusi challenges monetary policy stance of Nigeria’s central bank and calls for a currency devaluation
Long-term low interest rates risk financial instability, Geneva report argues
Long-run accommodative monetary policy could raise risks to financial instability, Charles Bean and other economists argue; issuance of leveraged loans in US corporate market on the rise
RBI advisers supported rate cut, minutes show
Minutes of technical advisory committee meeting show six of seven members recommended a cut as inflation in India had fallen ‘dramatically’ and growth proved elusive
UK’s Osborne defends ‘middle way’ struck by BoE bill
Finance minister tells MPs the decision to drop the reverse burden of proof avoids creating a two-tier regime; talks up value of BoE independence in response to concerns over NAO role
Draghi sets stage for December easing
Governing council could adjust asset purchases or cut rates further at next meeting, ECB president says; staff tasked with examining different options as they were before QE launch
Poloz sees risks to inflation outlook as ‘roughly balanced’ as Canada holds rates
Canadian governor highlights ‘building’ economic momentum after central bank holds its target for the overnight rate at 0.5%
Riksbank floats new collateral limits
Swedish central bank looks to limit the amount of covered bonds pledged as collateral for intraday credit; assessment suggests limited impact on banks
Bank of Uganda takes rate hikes to 600bp in five meetings
Bank of Uganda raises rates for fifth consecutive time by 100bp to 17% in a move to curb inflation; sees earlier moves taking effect
BoE needs to avoid getting ‘behind the curve’, says McCafferty
The monetary policy committee member warns against leaving the rate hike "too late", making it harder to raise it gradually to minimise disruption to households and businesses
Eurozone monetary policy works through credit channel, paper argues
Strong evidence eurozone monetary policy works through the credit channel rather than the interest rate channel, paper says; unconventional monetary policy strongest in crisis
No clear evidence for always using trend inflation in models, paper says
Adding positive steady-state inflation to new Keynesian DSGE models improves analysis of high-inflation periods but otherwise does not significantly alter results, paper argues
Eichengreen says central banks lack will not ability to tackle deflation
Central banks have the tools to deal with bad deflation if they are willing to act aggressively enough, economist argues; broadening asset purchases or helicopter money are both options
Further rate hikes likely as Chile raises 25bp
Central bank lifts rate to 3.25% in first move in four years; analysts suggest the move is an effort to rein in expectations
EU must ‘contain divergence’ between member states, says Polish central bank head
Marek Belka says reforms will not be supported unless European Union prevents economic divergence; speakers say quality of structural reform debate must improve