Articles by Central Banking Newsdesk
NY Fed staff say effect of policy changes depend on risk environment
New staff report argues that macro policy announcements affect asset prices to different extents depending on the existing economic outlook; when risk is elevated, the impact is reduced
Financial crisis caused significant shift in the euro area Beveridge curve
ECB paper finds that labour market consequences of the crisis have been heterogeneous across countries, with Spain and Germany diverging the most
RBI's Rajan sets out vision for ‘inclusive development'
India's new central bank governor hits the ground running, outlining several concrete policy measures ranging from a short-term forex swap window to national savings instruments
IMF paper considers impact of China’s capital account liberalisation
Researchers suggest that reduced capital control will likely lead to net outflows from equity and bond markets as domestic investors look to diversify
New York Fed paper wary of higher inflation targets
Staff report finds that pursuing a higher trend rate of inflation would likely create a ‘more volatile and unstable’ economy and unseat inflation expectations
Weidmann slams Europe's stability pact relaxation
Exceptions made for four members of the eurozone earlier this year were inappropriate, Bundesbank president says; making the rules more binding is the only way to stronger monetary union
BIS papers study effects of monetary and fiscal policy shocks
Researchers find fiscal shocks within the eurozone lead to a real exchange rate appreciation through inflation differential; monetary policy shocks have minor impact on commodity prices
East African central banks take different approaches to rising inflation
Bank of Uganda hikes key rate by 100bp to 12% as food shortages push crop prices up by 16% in August; Central Bank of Kenya dismisses own inflationary pressures and holds rates
German voters want to keep the euro - but not to save it, poll finds
Two-thirds do not believe the next chancellor has mandate to support eurozone countries financially after the September 22 elections; a third supports break up of eurozone and return to deutschmark
Financial contagion function of reputation rather than size of banks
Bank clustering and large in-coming interbank loan more important than leverage ratios, while central bank intervention reduce contagion only slightly, Bank of Finland discussion paper finds
Ireland economists construct new business-cycle indicator
Economic letter published by Central Bank of Ireland presents an indicator to provide policy-makers with ‘real-time’ signals; index has declined in recent months as domestic demand remains weak
German banks move to lower-risk sovereign bonds
Deutsche Bundesbank discussion paper investigates banks exposures to sovereign debt and finds they are increasingly investing in bonds from larger countries with lower inflation
Segmented structure of Russian interbank market leads to volatile interest rates
Liquidity-absorbing and liquidity-provision operations are conducted by the biggest banks, reducing credit risk but also restraining market development, according to Bank of Finland discussion paper
Polish paper presents new method for constructing fan charts
Fan charts are an increasingly popular tool for depicting forecasts; working paper proposes a new method for formulating the charts that incorporates 'a mix of judgment and statistics'
Sovereign default spreads drove European bank risk exposures during crisis
Systemic risk of European banks reached its height in late 2011 at around €500 billion, based on a measure introduced in a recent Fed working paper
IMF paper finds less tail risk in immediate aftermath of QE
IMF working paper finds ‘strong evidence' that unconventional monetary policy led to a reduction in market uncertainty, in turn contributing to an easing in financial conditions
Fed struggles with same issues as 100 years ago, says Lacker
There has been a debate over which assets the Fed should hold since its founding in 1913, Richmond Fed president Jeffrey Lacker says
ECB's Mersch calls for clearer separation of powers in bank resolution framework
European Central Bank executive board member believes current agreement in Europe on a resolution framework - 'decentralisation plus discretion' - is 'the wrong combination'
Bank Negara Malaysia strikes deals with AFI and HKMA
Malaysian central bank joins forces with the Alliance for Financial Inclusion to develop global capacity-building programmes; will work with HKMA on offshore renminbi business development
Corporate performance data central to understanding inflation dynamics
RBI's Deepak Mohanty says balance-sheet data enhances financial stability by shining light on corporate leverage ratios and unhedged foreign currency loans
Bank portfolios flush with long-term assets exposed to interest rate risk as rates rise
FDIC's Gruenberg says banks' asset quality and loan balances have improved and fewer lenders are failing, but reach for yield may pose problems as interest rates return to more normal levels
Prasarn hails prudent policies allowing Thailand to weather storm
Thailand's international reserves have meant the central bank has not had to raise interest rates to prop up the currency, says governor; hails ‘credible' monetary policy for ‘fostering growth and stability'
Decline in expected real interest rates 'key' to Japanese growth
Kikuo Iwata says inflation expectations will raise aggregate demand through the transmission mechanism of lower real interest rates; calls change in public mindset key to policy success
People: Bank of Finland appoints head of monetary policy; Cleveland branch gets new vice-president
Tuomas Välimäki is Bank of Finland's new head of monetary policy and research; Guhan Venkatu takes over from Robert Schaub as president of Cleveland Fed's Pittsburgh branch; and more