Monetary policy
Foreign monetary policy affects French and Italian lending – researchers
US policy especially significant, Banque de France paper finds
Policies must change to stop emerging markets crisis, analysts say
Tariffs, Fed policy and renminbi devaluation are stressing weaker currencies, say observers
Indonesian central bank hikes rates as global volatility hits rupiah
Forex interventions cut reserves by 11% between January and July 2018
Turkish central bank raises overnight rates in bid to stop lira’s fall
Move comes despite president Erdoğan’s hostility to rate hikes; banking authority also acts
James Bullard on 2% rates, tariffs and Fed leadership
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis speaks about the impact of US trade policies, the disruption to the banking industry from Silicon Valley, shrinking the Fed balance sheet and the potential for agent-based modelling
Uganda keeps rates on hold despite rising core inflation
Policy necessary to ensure “sustainable growth”, governor says
US expansion set to continue in H2 2018 – Dallas Fed
US enjoys strong consumer spending, a healthy labour market and inflation on target
Weak inflation keeps rates at record low in Israel
Bureau of statistics revised economic forecasts upwards in the face of solid growth
Turkish lira reaches fresh low as crisis impacts emerging markets
Central bank announces lower reserve requirements in bid to increase liquidity
Non-linear mortgage features can impact policymaking – BoE paper
Non-linear features of mortgages impact policymaking in a DSGE model, the authors find
The perilous road to normality
Many central banks are starting to tighten policy, but their room for error is limited and their final destination unclear. What more can they do?
US stimulus could accelerate policy normalisation – IMF research
Higher growth could increase imbalances and fuel calls for more protectionism
RBA trims inflation projections on low wage growth
Weaker outlook leads RBA to cut CPI forecasts to 1.75% in December 2018 from 2.25%
Trade uncertainty keeps Bank of Mexico on hold
Central bank leaves interest rates at 7.75%; revises up inflation expectations
Strong US economy reduces risks from normalisation – Barkin
Richmond Fed president points out consumers are increasingly concerned about tariffs
Turkish lira plunges again amid looming sanctions
Finance ministry to unveil ‘new economic model’, as central bank struggles to support the currency and officials seek to avoid fresh US sanctions
Big data in central banks focus report 2018
The third Central Banking big data focus report delves further into recent trends as central banks grapple with the question of upgrading their approaches to data
Data handling – A rethink
Official institutions are maturing as big data users but there is plenty more work to be done.
Argentina creates new monetary policy committee
Central bank leaves rates unchanged on high inflation pressures
Rising wages set to increase inflation – ECB research
Strong GDP growth and employment creation underpins higher underlying price pressures
Sponsored forum: Putting big data into action
Central Banking convened a panel of experts to discuss how central banks and other supervisors can maximise the potential of data, while overcoming hurdles to its collection and deployment
Putting big data into action
Big data is changing the way central banks think about the economy and oversee the financial system. In a forum sponsored by BearingPoint, Central Banking convened a panel of experts to discuss the innovative ways central banks are making use of big data.
Fed’s QE contributed to increased risk-taking by lenders – research
Mortgage real estate investment trusts increased leverage following Fed’s asset purchases
Brazil needs loose policy to safeguard recovery – IMF
Central bank held rates unchanged at record-low level on August 1