Monetary policy
Chinese banks boost lending, official figures show
Overall credit supply grows year-on-year but is outpaced by increase in bank lending
Vietnamese government orders tougher capital ratios for banks
Banking modernisation plan pledges increased central bank independence but is short on details
Bank of Mexico board unsure about new government’s fiscal policies
Board members said uncertain policies of incoming government may alter domestic demand
Fed may have to speed up rate rises, Australian governor warns
Philip Lowe says fiscal stimulus could lead to US inflation growing faster than expected
Brian Wynter on Jamaica’s inflation-targeting transition
Jamaican governor says the end of fiscal dominance plus the creation of a two-way forex market and an effective interest rate policy mechanism essential for “full-fledged” inflation target
BdF paper looks at ‘hawks, doves and swingers’
Education and economic conditions at birth shape the views of FOMC members, argues the paper
Atlanta Fed estimates US GDP growth remains above 4%
Economy expanded by 4.1% in Q2, in strongest performance since mid-2014
Norges Bank holds rates as inflation stays below target
Norwegian governor said in March he expected next rate hike to come “after summer”
Foreign monetary policy affects French and Italian lending – researchers
US policy especially significant, Banque de France paper finds
Policies must change to stop emerging markets crisis, analysts say
Tariffs, Fed policy and renminbi devaluation are stressing weaker currencies, say observers
Indonesian central bank hikes rates as global volatility hits rupiah
Forex interventions cut reserves by 11% between January and July 2018
Turkish central bank raises overnight rates in bid to stop lira’s fall
Move comes despite president Erdoğan’s hostility to rate hikes; banking authority also acts
James Bullard on 2% rates, tariffs and Fed leadership
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis speaks about the impact of US trade policies, the disruption to the banking industry from Silicon Valley, shrinking the Fed balance sheet and the potential for agent-based modelling
Uganda keeps rates on hold despite rising core inflation
Policy necessary to ensure “sustainable growth”, governor says
US expansion set to continue in H2 2018 – Dallas Fed
US enjoys strong consumer spending, a healthy labour market and inflation on target
Weak inflation keeps rates at record low in Israel
Bureau of statistics revised economic forecasts upwards in the face of solid growth
Turkish lira reaches fresh low as crisis impacts emerging markets
Central bank announces lower reserve requirements in bid to increase liquidity
Non-linear mortgage features can impact policymaking – BoE paper
Non-linear features of mortgages impact policymaking in a DSGE model, the authors find
The perilous road to normality
Many central banks are starting to tighten policy, but their room for error is limited and their final destination unclear. What more can they do?
US stimulus could accelerate policy normalisation – IMF research
Higher growth could increase imbalances and fuel calls for more protectionism
RBA trims inflation projections on low wage growth
Weaker outlook leads RBA to cut CPI forecasts to 1.75% in December 2018 from 2.25%
Trade uncertainty keeps Bank of Mexico on hold
Central bank leaves interest rates at 7.75%; revises up inflation expectations
Strong US economy reduces risks from normalisation – Barkin
Richmond Fed president points out consumers are increasingly concerned about tariffs
Turkish lira plunges again amid looming sanctions
Finance ministry to unveil ‘new economic model’, as central bank struggles to support the currency and officials seek to avoid fresh US sanctions