Monetary policy
Fed adopts average inflation target
Powell says FOMC will also allow employment to run above estimated maximum level
Official institutions lead the Covid‑19 recovery charge
Tested by the Covid-19 pandemic, market consensus is that official institutions have been instrumental in mitigating market disruption. As economies work out how to adapt to a post-lockdown world, major public bodies are likely to play a key role in the…
Eurozone needs ‘forceful policy response’ – Schnabel
Banks in eurozone face “substantial pressure” from Covid-19, ECB board member warns
Thai governor calls for bigger fiscal boost
“More needs to be done”, Santiprabhob says, as Thai economy faces major contraction
The eurozone’s eastern conundrum
Bulgaria and Croatia expect a net positive effect as they take final steps to join the euro, while the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland remain reluctant
Bank of Canada seeks public views on inflation targeting
Canadian central bank aims to increase public engagement with monetary policy review
RBNZ investigating use of negative rates, official says
New Zealand central bank would only use measure if necessary, assistant governor says
Turkey holds rates but raises reserve ratios
Move appears to be attempt to stem fall in currency despite president’s opposition to rate hikes
RBA expects long period of low inflation – minutes
Policy set to remain on hold, as board members say term funding is having desired effect
James Bullard on the Fed’s policy review, FSOC and forecasting jobs data
St Louis Fed president discusses his support for average inflation targeting, his concerns about US Treasuries market function, non-bank regulatory weakness and negative rates, as well as the unexpected success in using Homebase data to predict highly…
Bundesbank paper uses neural networks for rate forecasting
Artificial neural networks outperform linear and non-linear functions, author says
Covid-19 policy-making and the need for high-speed data
High-frequency data holds the promise of speed and adaptability, but the rush to find alternative economic indicators has the potential to create problems
Book notes: The menace of fiscal QE, by George Selgin
Much of this book is even more relevant, thought-provoking and important following Covid-19
Bank of Mexico cites ‘major challenges’ as it cuts rate
Policy-makers focused on maintaining “room for manoeuvre” as inflation risks evolve
Book notes: Radical uncertainty, by Mervyn King and John Kay
The one certainty we have faced is that we have to confront uncertainty, which is precisely the point of this wonderful book
Computing platforms for big data and AI
Implementing big-data and high-performance computing platforms is critical to support machine learning applications. Rafael Schmidt and Bruno Tissot offer insights on developing a comprehensive information strategy
Former RBI deputy attacks government over fiscal dominance
Recent actions by Indian government are “tantamount to coercive monetisation”, says Viral Acharya
Emerging markets face ‘uphill battle’ against pandemic – IMF staff
EME countries face limited fiscal space and possible solvency crisis, warn researchers
Turkish central bank issues brief statement as lira hits record low
Lira hits lowest-ever level against dollar and euro as central bank’s response remains unclear
Brazil’s central bank cuts rates to record low
MPC says there is limited space for more monetary policy stimulus as crisis continues
Fed paper looks at effects of negative rates on banks
Banks with large holdings of liquid assets could be hurt by negative rates, researcher says
BoE says negative rates ‘in toolbox’ and forecasts slow recovery
First “proper” forecast since Covid-19 outbreak gives little hope of a V-shaped recovery
IMF supports Riksbank’s criticism of proposed central bank law
Swedish lawmakers propose separating monetary and financial stability measures
Biden promises new Fed mandate on racial inequality
Democratic candidate wants Fed to take responsibility for economic concerns of Black Lives Matter movement