Interest rates
IMF warns of ‘bumpy road’ as rates rise
Financial stability outlook shows risks rising in the short run and “elevated” in the medium run
UK wage growth outstrips inflation
Lower unemployment and above-target inflation reinforce May hike probability
Riksbank should reduce balance sheet to avoid risks – Flodén
“Best way” of running down bond holdings is to hold bonds until maturity
HKMA buys HK dollar for first time in 13 years
HKMA chief says central bank is “fully capable” of defending local currency
The IFF China Report 2018: Post-financial crisis – A decade on
The Global Financial Crisis sparked Group of 20 countries to introduce tough new regulations on financial institutions and instruments. Yet the architecture of the global monetary, economic and financial system has many flaws. What lessons can China…
New York Fed lays out QE unwinding scenarios
Fed’s balance sheet is expected to stabilise between $2.5 trillion and $3.3 trillion
Central banks should personalise communications – BoE’s Haldane
Explaining how monetary policy affects the lives of everyday people could help bridge trust gap, the BoE’s chief economist says; calls for monetary policy ‘scorecards’
China's policy transmission increasingly similar to advanced economies – BIS paper
Authors say monetary policy surprises have “sizeable” effects on interest rates in China
Iceland is ready to drop final capital controls – Guðmundsson
Icelandic governor says economy is sturdy enough to allow the removal of the remaining controls
Eurozone inflation rises in March
Prices rose year on year by 1.4% last month, up from 1.1% in February
New York Fed launches rates replacing US Libor
New rates are calculated using actual interbank transactions
Macro-prudential policies cool Sweden’s housing market
Private debt continues to increase, but loan-to-value ratios are falling
Sarb alters interest rate forecasts to extend easing
Central bank sees three 25bp hikes between now and 2021
Balance sheet features impact global spillovers – NY Fed paper
International research effort finds banks’ business models affect the extent to which policy spills across borders
Bank of Ghana slashes rates as inflation moves towards target
Central bank continues an easing cycle that began in 2016, citing a “significant moderation in price pressures”
Fed policy should become more neutral – Bostic
As the economy operates close to potential and inflation approaches target, rates can be raised, the Atlanta Fed president says
Yield curve can help improve forecasts – RBNZ economists
Yield curve information tends to improve forecasts of economic activity, researchers find
People: Brazil central bank set for female deputy
Carolina de Assis Barros set to become deputy governor after reshuffle; ECB’s Euribor expert prepares for EMMI move; and more
Fed profits shrink as interest expenses bite
The Fed’s profits in 2017 were more than $10 billion smaller than a year earlier, as the effects of interest rate hikes begin to show
BoE on track for May rate hike
MPC votes 7-2 in favour of maintaining rates at 0.5% but leaves the door open for two potential rate hikes in 2018
Brazil nears end of easing cycle as rates hit fresh low
Committee signals there will likely be a pause in rate cuts soon, as inflation evolves “more benignly than expected”
Mongolian central bank opposes interest rate cap
Mongolia has some of the world’s highest interest rates, but the central bank warns caps are not the right solution
Powell strikes cautiously upbeat note in first policy press conference
Federal Open Market Committee shifts economic forecasts up marginally
Fed’s unconventional policies similar to measures in 1920s, says research
Market operations early in the 20th century more than tripled Fed’s Treasury portfolio