Inflation

The best methods for estimating trend inflation

Trend inflation forecasts estimated by the exclusion method and the principal component technique have strong predictive power on future changes in headline CPI or PCE inflation, new research from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority posits.

Norway cuts to a record low

Norges Bank on Wednesday cut its key rate by half a point to an all-time low of 1.5% on signs that the global recession was having an adverse impact on the domestic economy.

More easing needed in New Zealand: OECD

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand should cut its policy rate by a further percentage point to 2% in order to stimulate the domestic economy, said the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on Thursday. The views contrast with those…

Depth of Icelandic cut limited on krona concern

Members of the Central Bank of Iceland's monetary policy committee decided unanimously to cut the key policy rate by a full percentage point to 17% but resisted a steeper move owing to caution about the impact on the currency, the minutes for the 17 and…

Fed's Stern: recession could end in mid-2009

In one of the most bullish assessments of the state of the US economy by an official of the Federal Reserve since the start of the crisis, Gary Stern, the long-serving president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, said that the recovery could…

UK inflation statistic surprises

The British CPI inflation statistic for the year to February, out Tuesday, confounded analysts' expectations of a steep fall, rising by a fifth of a percentage point from the January figure.

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