Research
US markets unconvinced by 1980s inflation fall
Financial markets were sceptical of the Federal Reserve's commitment to low inflation even after the period of disinflation in the early 1980s, research published by the Kansas City Federal Reserve finds.
Emerging Asia impacts commodity price trend
Industrial activity in emerging Asia appears to have become, since 1997, a stronger driver of oil and commodity price movements than business cycle trends in developed economies.
Bank loans an offer Italy's criminals can refuse
Italy's underground economy does hold back financial deepening, research published by the Bank of Italy finds.
Carry trade returns high but losses heavy
Though carry trades in various Asian currencies tend to outperform major stock markets, there is a relatively high frequency of large negative returns, research published by the Bank for International Settlements finds.
South Africans' inflation expectations
South African economic agents are neither exclusively rational nor exclusively adaptive in forming inflation expectations, research published by the South African Reserve Bank finds.
Price fall the main cause of subprime delinquency
A fall in house prices has been the single biggest contributor to the rise in subprime delinquency levels, research published by the San Francisco Federal Reserve finds.
Credit channel has bigger effect on big banks
Rate hikes have a greater impact on the lending behaviour of bigger banks than smaller institutions, research published by the Chicago Federal Reserve finds.
Prices stickier for manufacturers: US research
The cost for manufacturers to re-price their goods deters them from making changes, research by the New York Federal Reserve finds.
UK and Japan react to house prices, but not Fed
The Bank of England's and the Bank of Japan's monetary policy responds to house price changes, but the Federal Reserve's does not, research by the Riksbank finds.
Dollar's value linked to US productivity
A more productive United States workforce indirectly enhances the dollar's value, research published by the San Francisco Federal Reserve finds.
New thinking on large current-account deficits
Governments should not necessarily intervene to reduce the large current-account deficits of the United States and many of the euro area economies, research published by the International Monetary Fund finds.
CEPR proposes solution for fiscal dilemma
Game theory and inflation targeting could provide the best solution to the problem of fiscal policy impacting monetary policy, a paper published by the Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR) finds.
Boston Fed blames subprime on house price decline
In conducting what it calls "the first rigorous assessment of the homeownership experiences of subprime borrowers", the Boston Federal Reserve has found that the decline in house prices that began in the summer of 2005 is the factor most responsible for…
Jury still out on global saving glut theory
New research published by the Reserve Bank of Australia finds limited support for the argument that financial crises have contributed to the current-account surpluses in developing economies.
Beige book reveals reduced US expansion
The latest edition of the Federal Reserve's Beige Book shows that consumer spending has slowed and that the financial services industry has become a drag on growth, but that the economy grew nonetheless.
Fed's forecasts have declined since early 1990s
The Federal Reserve's forecasts of inflation and output have deteriorated since 1991, research published by the Central Bank and Financial Services Authority of Ireland finds.
HKMA predicts impact of capital flow reversal
Improvements in external payment positions and financial strength have increased the resilience of Asian economies to a reversal of capital flows, research published by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority finds.
Consumption and income link strengthens in slump
Private consumption is more sensitive to changes in disposable income during recessions, research published by the Bank of England finds.
OTC derivatives trade grows by 135%
The value of positions in the over-the-counter derivatives market has increased by 135% in the last three years to $516 trillion, the Bank for International Settlements finds.
The drawbacks of disinflation policies
Economies enter persistent recessions and inflation heads above the long-run level in the immediate aftermath of a disinflation policy, research published by Banque de France finds.
Asia-Pacific economies getting closer
The interdependence of Asia-Pacific economies has increased since the turn of the millennium, research published by the Bank of Japan finds.
Taylor inertia conundrum solved?
Inertia in the Taylor rules on interest rates could be down to inertia in the economy itself, argues research published by the Centre for Economic Policy Research.
Simple rate rules deemed most effective
Simple interest rate rules which include a response to money growth outperform both Taylor-type rules and speed limit policies once real-time output gap uncertainty is accounted for, research published by the Bundesbank finds.
Impact of globalisation on risk sharing small
Financial globalisation does not result in as much risk sharing as theory predicts, research published by the IMF finds.