Research

Monetary policy and credit constraints

This research discussion paper from the Reserve Bank of Australia suggest that while effect of a change in the monetary policy interest rate on aggregate demand may be larger at higher levels of indebtedness, the extent of credit constraints may be at…

South Africa details forecasting model

The Reserve Bank of South Africa has published a paper describing the key stochastic equations in its core model, which is used for forecasting purposes at Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meetings.

IMF report on the US

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said the US economy should shake off the effects of the housing market decline and expand by almost 3% by the middle of 2008.

Real effective exchange rates in WAEMU

A new paper from the IMF investigates the long-run equilibrium paths of the real effective exchange rates (REERs) of countries in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU).

Chinese capital controls

This working paper by the Bank for International Settlements finds that China's capital controls have allowed the authorities to retain some degree of short-term monetary autonomy, despite the fixed exchange rate.

Explaining inflation differentials

This working paper by the International Monetary Fund suggests that some central banks may aim at comparatively high inflation rates mainly to make up for, and to perhaps exploit, lagging internal and external liberalisation in their economies.

Paper on reserve accumulation

This paper suggests that while the hoarding of foreign exchange reserves by emerging-market economies could initially be explained primarily in terms of "self insurance" against global shocks, this explanation increasingly falls short.

Fed's role in output volatility

This working paper by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago examines the contribution of monetary policy to the drop in the volatility of output fluctuations in the United States. The author finds that in three periods in particular - the 1960's, 1976 to…

Why Europe needs a banking charter

The authors of this IMF Working Paper argue that a full-fledged EU-level prudential regime that operates along-side national regimes - which they call a "European Banking Charter" - could harness market forces to establish a level playing field for…

Is an international lender welfare enhancing?

This Central Bank of Chile working paper examines the role of an extra lender in the international markets - such the IMF or another similar institution. The authors suggest that the existence of such a lender "is not beneficial from a welfare standpoint…

Japan's CPI understated deflation - NBER paper

Japan's deflation would have more than twice as severe as official statistics suggested if the country adopted American methodologies which correct for substitution biases and quality upgrading, this NBER working paper finds.

Monetary integration in Southern Africa

This IMF working paper finds that the current Common Monetary Area (CMA) agreements between South African, Lesotho, Swaziland and Namibia, although not a full monetary union, have delivered many benefits of a full monetary union.