Research
Fiscal policy can counteract Dutch disease, say Peru economists
If the gains from public investment are shared throughout an economy, then such government spending can counteract the harmful effects of Dutch disease
US community banks losing their edge with small businesses, paper finds
Fed discussion paper finds small, opaque businesses are just as likely to use a large banking corporation as they are a community bank; strong banking relationships remain important
Banque de France paper explains new GDP forecast model
New model aims to eliminate 'systematic upward predictive bias' since the crisis
IMF paper models sovereign restructuring in monetary union
Paper prepared by economists in IMF's fiscal affairs department shows the restructuring country's economy would suffer more if its residents hold most of its sovereign debt
Dutch paper finds that bonuses are main cause of distrust in banks
Researchers at Dutch central bank find that banker bonuses have a greater impact on public trust than government intervention, stock prices and media reports
Asian decoupling a figment of the great moderation, says BIS paper
Evidence of Asia's economic decoupling from the rest of the world was a symptom of low co-movement during tranquil economic times, which ended with the arrival of the financial crisis
Macro-prudential and fiscal co-ordination could pay big dividends, IMF staffers say
International co-ordination of macro-prudential and fiscal policies would have a far greater effect than the literature predicts for internationally co-ordinated monetary policy, paper shows
RBA bulletin considers CCP resolution
Reserve Bank of Australia quarterly bulletin features an article on the recovery tools and resolution regimes that could be employed when central counterparties suffer losses
John Taylor calls for international policy co-ordination
Paper published today by the BIS says recent unusual monetary policies have been appropriate and benign - and international co-ordination could lead to an international co-operative equilibrium
EU members are ‘growing apart' not growing together, paper finds
Researchers examine EU member states' ‘dynamic convergence' and find seven separate groups of countries that are not converging with one another
ECB working paper says sovereign spreads driven by fundamentals
Paper finds that before the crisis, eurozone sovereign spreads were somewhat decoupled from fundamentals, but since then, country-specific factors have played a bigger role than regional contagion
Monetary transmission not to blame for weak bank lending in Brazil, IMF paper finds
Fewer loans due to shift in demand and possibly rapid expansion of state bank credit; if anything, sensitivity of lending to Selic rate changes seems to have increased, according to author
Credit ratings hit prices 'significantly' more in times of crisis, paper finds
Effects of rating actions on market prices not crucial during favourable market conditions but 'very significant' in times of crisis; analysis covers ratings and prices of 16,500 bonds over 12 years
Government intervention shielded Korea from global credit crunch
Paper by Bank of Korea and IMF economists argues external buffers such as foreign reserves and swap agreements means the country is in good shape to weather global financial turmoil
ECB working paper finds indebted countries should pursue austerity at ZLB
Model seeks to incorporate effects of government debt when examining how to tackle a liquidity trap at the zero lower bound
Italian paper finds government spending multipliers less than 1 at ZLB
The multiplier can go above 1 only when monetary policy is held constant for at least five years - but can still be reduced by elevated sovereign risk, researchers find
RBA economists examine effects of price shock on ‘endogenous reserves'
When a small open economy depends on non-renewable resources to a large degree, the effects of a shock to the prices of those resources are amplified, paper finds
Russian interbank market lacks discipline, Bofit paper finds
Investigation into levels of market discipline in the Russian interbank market finds some discipline was present during the financial crisis, but even then it was insufficient to curb risk-taking
Interest rates best transmit South African monetary policy, say researchers
New Sarb paper analyses five transmission channels for a monetary policy shock, finding interest rates to be the strongest, and asset prices the weakest
Chicago Fed paper aims to explain asset fluctuations through ‘unified' model
Framework draws on two theories of the role of credit in asset price fluctuations; study is first step in larger project
New Zealand bond yields are determined globally, paper finds
Global factors are the dominant determinant of New Zealand 10-year bond yields, but shorter term borrowing depends much more on local factors, according to a new working paper
OTC derivatives turnover driven by 'non-dealer' contracts, says BIS
Article in latest BIS quarterly review notes share of inter-dealer trades shrunk to 35% in 2013; trading remains concentrated in major financial centres despite 'rapid' growth in EM currencies
Link between ECB liquidity ops and interbank repo breaks down in crisis
Researchers at the New York Fed find that the relationship between ECB monetary policy operations and interbank borrowing did not survive the collapse of Lehman Brothers and associated crisis
Unexpected increases in Fed funds rate prompt gold prices to rise
Atlanta Fed working paper examining futures data between 1998-2008 finds that unexpected changes in the Fed's monetary policy can influence commodity prices