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AI might raise r* due to wealth effects – Goolsbee

Impact on natural rate depends on whether productivity growth comes as surprise, says Chicago Fed president

Austan Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Whether artificial intelligence increases or decreases the natural interest rate (r*) will depend on whether the associated productivity growth comes as a surprise, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago has said.

At a conference hosted by the Hoover Institution at Stanford University on May 8, Austan Goolsbee discussed how AI-induced productivity growth would be likely to affect monetary policy.

“It makes a big difference whether you are talking about an unexpected increase in

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