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Articles by Central Banking staff

Independent NBP will consider weaker zloty

POLAND - President Aleksander Kwasniewski, who last week agreed to become a mediator between the government and the Monetary Policy Council (RPP), after meeting the latter on Tuesday, has confirmed his dedication to the independence of Poland's central…

Interview - Luxembourg central bank's Yves Mersch

FEATURE - Luxembourg Central Bank governor Yves Mersch said the European Central Bank is awaiting hard evidence of an upturn in the euro zone's manufacturing sector before raising interest rates. In an interview with AFX News he also said the decision of…

Speech by U Backstrom of Sveriges Riksbank, 7 Jun

SPEECH - Backstrom said in a speech titled 'The importance of a well-functioning stock market' that in order to reduce the risk of financial market imbalances, it is important that we have a well thought-out legislative, regulatory and supervisory…

Extreme Contagion in Equity Markets

RESEARCH - IMF Working Paper by Jorge Chan-Lau, Donald Mathieson and James Yao of the International Capital Markets Department, 18 June. Their results suggest that contagion patterns differ significantly within regions with Latin America showing an…

Trichet says France wont balance budget by 2004

FRANCE - Jean-Claude Trichet, the governor of the Banque de France, suggested that it is unlikely that France will manage to clean up its budget deficit by 2004 when he agreed with finance minister Francis Mer's comments that to achieve this will take…

Eurozone inflation to end yr above 2% says Caruana

SPAIN - Jaime Caruana, governor of the Banco de Espana and member of the ECB board said that inflation in the euro zone this year has been worse than expected. Although he said that it would be difficult to assess where it would head in the medium term,…

Brazil cb to wait to sell long term debt next year

BRAZIL - The Brazilian central bank is likely to wait until 2003 until it begins selling its longer-dated public debt again. Two weeks ago the government began to swap long-dated government securities for short-term debt to counter the growing reluctance…

The role of fiscal policy in crisis situations

ARTICLE - Flemming Larsen, Director of the IMF Office in Europe, has responded to Joseph Stiglitz's in Les Echos on June 3, 'L'actualite de Keynes'. Larsen counters criticisms that the IMF imposes hardship on crisis-stricken countries, as they only point…

Bank of England Inflation Attitudes Survey May 02

SURVEY - The Bank of England has published the results to its Inflation Attitudes Survey which is conducted quarterly. An article in the summer Quarterly Bulletin, also published today, examines the trends seen in the four surveys up to and including…

Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin Summer 2002

REPORT - The Bank of England has released its Quarterly Bulletin for Summer 2002. It includes articles on why spending on durable goods needs to be analysed differently from that on other types of goods, providing possible explanations for its recent…

Bank of Japan Working Paper 02-E-2

RESEARCH - The Bank of Japan's Financial Markets Department has produced research on 'Market Microstructure and Spread Pattern in the JASDAQ Market'. It examines empirical analyses of spread patterns for stocks listed on JASDAQ in order to ascertain the…

Bank of Japan Working Paper 02-4

RESEARCH - The Bank of Japan has published a paper on 'Deposit Money Creation in Search Equilibrium' by Keiichiro Kobayashi in which the endogenous creation of bank credit and deposit money is modeled. The Central Limit Theorem implies that the…

Bank of Canada Working Paper 2002-15

RESEARCH - The Bank of Canada has pubished a paper on 'Corporate Bond Spreads and the Business Cycle' by Zhiwei Zhang. It examines the predictive power of credit spreads from the corporate bond market. High-yield bond and investment-grade spreads can…

Bank of Canada Working Paper 2002-16

RESEARCH - The Bank of Canada has published a paper titled 'A Market Microstructure Analysis of Foreign Exchange Intervention in Canada', by Chris D'Souza. He concludes that central banks considering intervention must also consider both the signal it…

Quaden warns of Belgian budget deficit in 2003

BELGIUM - Guy Quaden, governor of the Belgian National Bank, has warned that Belgium may return to a budget deficit next year if the government eases spending controls to help it win elections: "In 2003, I will be very vigilant not only about inflation…

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