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2014: The year in review
The past year has seen central banks across the globe grapple with reform, at an institutional and global level – we look back at the biggest stories of 2014
Riksbank critic becomes deputy governor
Henry Ohlsson, an economics professor who attacked the Swedish central bank for failing to reach its inflation target in a report earlier this year, is picked to replace Karolina Ekholm
FSB pushes countries to meet higher information exchange standards
Financial Stability Board publishes latest progress report on information sharing, with thirteen jurisdictions still lagging behind; updates list of ‘financially important’ economies
BoE research identifies strong impact from long-term unemployment on inflation
Working paper finds evidence that models incorporating linear Phillips curves are underestimating the effect of long-term unemployment on wage inflation
Canadians want more women on banknotes, poll shows
Bank of Canada’s banknotes should reflect more gender equality and a better celebration of women, according to the Canadians who participated in an online survey by the central bank
BIS paper finds transmission of low policy rates to lending rates has weakened
There has been a ‘strong increase’ in the gap between the lending rate and the policy rate since the global financial crisis, a BIS working paper suggests
HKMA finds signs of forex manipulation at banks
Investigation into forex market manipulation turns up two cases of misconduct but finds no collusion between banks; six banks criticised for communication ‘indiscretions’
German investments would generate ‘beneficial' regional spillovers, finds IMF paper
The expansionary effect of higher public investment in Germany ‘substantially strengthened' when supported by an accommodative monetary policy stance, according to working paper
People: Fritz Zurbrügg appointed as SNB vice-chair; Vanoli gets nod from Argentine senate
SNB reshuffles board, with Zurbrügg assuming vice-chair after Danthine retires; Luis Linde replaces Ignacio Visco at the steering committee of the European Systemic Risk Board
MEPs strike deal to cap card payment fees
European Parliament reaches agreement on limits to the fees banks can charge retailers for processing payments in a bid to lower prices and tackle perverse incentives
Fed changes forward guidance
Janet Yellen says FOMC ‘can be patient' in normalising monetary policy, but says new language does not signal change in outlook; Fisher, Plosser and Kocherlakota dissent
Bank of South Sudan keen for exchange rate reform
IMF report finds authorities keen to create a single exchange rate, launch two-way fixed rate auctions and establish an interbank market for foreign exchange
Banque de France paper says asset purchases may struggle to anchor rates
Working paper suggests asset purchases could be a way to anchor interbank rates, but the policy faces a number of difficulties; absorbing excess liquidity another option
Optimal policy changes as financial inclusion rises, BIS paper finds
Working paper presents evidence that both output volatility and inflation volatility fall as financial inclusion rises, but monetary policy will optimally lean more towards controlling prices
Research takes Bayesian approach to find early-warning indicators
Excessive credit growth and high returns of bank stocks are the ‘best’ early-warning indicators, researchers from Austrian and German central banks find
ECB to publish unattributed ‘accounts’ of policy discussions
European Central Bank will publish ‘accounts’ four weeks after every meeting; they are designed to improve the general public’s understanding of the governing council’s thought process
Swiss National Bank introduces negative rates
In the face of growing pressure on the Swiss franc, the SNB imposes an interest rate of -0.25% on sight deposits held at the central bank
Chilean study identifies ‘delicate’ relationship between prudential policy and bailouts
Liquidity requirements and prudential taxes are examples of prudential policies that may backfire, since they can increase the risk taken by banks in expectation of a bailout, research finds
Bosnia central bank suspends nine after $380,000 theft from vaults
Prosecutor’s Office detains a central bank ‘clerk’ in connection with offence; money was supposedly taken in three chunks between 2012 and 2014
Bank of Israel researchers propose exchange rate-based forward guidance
Researchers say forward guidance has a mixed track record, especially in small open economies, but linking guidance to external factors would help improve credibility
Caruana sees leverage ‘evolving’ at global level
BIS general manager highlights risks beyond the banking sector, including an increase in corporate leverage in the wake of the financial crisis
Bank of England MPC still split 7-2 on rates
Minutes from the December meeting show Ian McCafferty and Martin Weale voted for a 25bp hike for the fifth consecutive month; they argue wage growth could ‘pick up sharply’
Australian banks look to stable deposits to meet LCR, says Debelle
Interest rates on more stable deposit products are rising as banks prepare for liquidity coverage ratio’s January deadline, says Reserve Bank of Australia assistant governor
Ingves: Riksbank prepared to launch currency interventions
Swedish governor says central bank prepared to take unconventional measures, including negative interest rates and asset purchases, in light of falling oil prices