Systemic risk
World faces systemic debt crisis, IMF warns
IMF calls for urgent reforms and Japanese finance minister criticises China over debt agreement
BoE welcomes temporary deal on post-Brexit clearing
‘Equivalence’ decision will avoid short-term cliff-edge for CCPs, as Brexit negotiations enter final stages
Action needed to avert Latin American banking crisis – report
Emergency measures may mask growing solvency problems, institutions warn
BIS research maps out links between banks and non-banks
First attempt at global mapping reveals significant scale of interconnections
CFTC report calls for US regulators to take urgent climate action
US should join NGFS, impose carbon price and mandate firms to disclose green risks, report says
Bank investors still don’t think bail-in will happen, FSB told
Questions over bailing in bank bondholders mean problem of too big to fail persists, experts warn
Knot warns deviations from global standards must be temporary
“If the US starts distancing itself from international standards, that is quite something,” says Dutch central bank chief
Fed feeling its way with new inflation framework
Average inflation targeting is broadly dovish, and could see rates stay lower for even longer
BoE open to heterodox tools in new research agenda
Traditional tools of economic analysis “cannot always answer every question”, says Andrew Bailey
CLS proposes second-tier FX settlement system
Stripped-back system for EM currencies mooted to tackle rising settlement risk
Credit-to-GDP gap is not reliable systemic risk indicator – research
Composite measure of financial cycle works better for most G7 countries, says Bundesbank paper
The evolving role of central bank money in payments
The line between commercial and central bank money continues to blur, but the multiple-issuer/one-currency paradigm underpinning the current monetary system is set to remain in a CBDC world, write Ulrich Bindseil and Ignacio Terol
Online machine learning can warn of impending crisis – Hélène Rey
Approach avoids some of the pitfalls of other methods, the economics professor says
ECB testing banks’ ability to deal with a second wave of Covid-19 – Enria
ECB head of supervision stresses banks are reluctant to use buffers because of market reaction
Doyne Farmer’s next big adventure: capturing the universe
Complexity theorist plans to build an economic super-simulator on a global scale
Carstens, Jordan, Weber: respect the boundaries of fiscal and monetary policy
Axel Weber says huge US deficit could pose problems for global financial stability
Riksbank launches new financial vulnerability metric
“Systemic risk indicator” is designed to track overall financial stability across market segments
PBoC’s post-pandemic policy is still up in the air
The Chinese central bank has resisted radical easing, but with the NPC meeting this week, more loosening could be on the way, despite debt-level concerns, writes Hui Feng
Covid-19 should serve as warning for climate change – BIS official
Policy-makers need “holistic approach” to global risks, says Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva
Book notes: In the combat zone of finance, by Svein Harald Øygard
A fascinating and readable book for those charged with maintaining financial stability and interested in a new perspective on institutional efficiency
‘Ostrich approach’ to financial stability is a mistake
Denmark’s top supervisor, Jesper Berg, says scaling back IFRS 9 would be a costly error, despite the economic challenges raised by Covid-19
PBoC takes on regulation of key financial infrastructure
Chinese central bank to take bigger role in regulation as country seeks to improve financial infrastructure
Some countries lack systemic banking crisis resilience – IMF report
IMF staff sketch out priorities for countries’ resolution-planning frameworks
IMF-MAS research says cyber risks can be modelled with limited data
Public data can be used to create unique formulae to model hypothetical cyber attacks