Monetary policy
BoE’s Forbes points to bias among overworked MPC members
Senior Bank of England officials are overworked and heavily scrutinised, which may make it harder for them to take tough decisions, Kristin Forbes says in her final speech as an MPC member
Recovery increasingly resilient; inflation predictions down – ECB
GDP forecasts revised up and ECB says recovery is “broadening”, but inflation projections revised down
Asset purchase programme is key to central bank credibility – ECB paper
Researchers analyse market reactions to unconventional monetary policy decisions
Riksbank claims rate forecast success, despite inaccuracies
Study of 10 years of repo rate forecasting concludes it is a useful tool for setting and communicating policy, although forecasts “have not been particularly accurate”
Regulatory tightening has caused decline of money growth, PBoC official says
PBoC official says regulatory policy and monetary policy go hand in hand; recent flurry of regulatory activity is impacting monetary policy
Indonesian banks will switch to reserves averaging in July
Latest move in Bank Indonesia’s major overhaul of monetary policy transmission and efforts to deepen financial markets
RBA minutes point to dangers from debt
Growth in household debt exceeds growth in incomes, creating risks to consumption; board members say situation warrants “careful monitoring”
Making the rules and breaking the mould (Allan Meltzer: 1928–2017)
John Taylor writes about the extraordinary life of a pioneering economist whose lifelong work defied traditional rules – but one who strongly advocated them for central banks
BoE economist sees monetary policy benefits to demonetisation
Removal of high-denomination notes could help central bankers maintain policies of low inflation and interest rates near the zero lower bound
Bank of Japan strikes upbeat tone as it keeps policy on hold
The Bank of Japan decided to leave policy settings unchanged at its June meeting, but sounded more upbeat on the outlook
FOMC votes for hike but stays cautious on outlook
Fed committee votes for second rate hike of 2017, but enthusiasm for further tightening appears to be fading
Wilkins offers optimistic assessment of Canadian economy
Carolyn Wilkins says Bank of Canada will assess whether current “considerable” monetary stimulus is still required; growth across sectors is an “encouraging” sign for the economy
Wheeler hits out at commercial bank for unforgiving commentary
RBNZ governor says commentary threatens its integrity, damaging the central bank and financial markets; former RBNZ official says Wheeler overreacting
Sarb monetary policy committee does not suffer from ‘groupthink’ – Kganyago
Sarb governor says there are often disagreements when it comes to policy decisions; central banks have now become “masters of communication”
Inflation overshoot should affect adaptive part of expectations, says Kuroda
Bank of Japan governor says there is still a long way to go until the price stability target is achieved
Draghi flags wage weakness as he defends easing measures
“Very substantial” accommodation still needed, says ECB president; central bank is devoting resources to understanding low wage growth
Obstfeld and Taylor back dual trilemma global finance theory
Economists still need to better incorporate financial stability into their thinking, the authors argue, with the concept of a financial trilemma helping to explain recent instability
Surprise policy announcements impact cash demand and consumption - paper
Unanticipated policy announcements can significantly reduce a consumer's monthly ATM withdrawals
Wage growth remains a concern for Australia – Lowe
Governor warns low wage growth is hindering household consumption; there are some signs the labour market is recovering, with employment growth registering stronger in recent months
BoJ’s Sakurai defends aggressive monetary easing
A member of the policy board says yield-curve control allows flexibility for the central bank to implement monetary easing
Chinese monetary policy now more in line with G3 central banks – BIS paper
“Liberalisation and transformation” of the Chinese economy has led to changes in the PBoC’s monetary policy rule, and an improvement in inflation performance, authors say
Chile’s economy on sound and stable footing – report
Following earlier action in the year, central bank is unlikely to move interest rates again; growth forecasts revised following copper mine strike
Fed paper warns on helicopter money risks
Tool appears much less powerful when less realistic elements of the New Keynesian framework are removed; other options could work better, authors say
Inflation is preventing interest rates from rising faster, says Powell
Labour market progress points towards a faster pace of normalisation for the Fed, but below-target inflation is preventing rates from rising above the current “gradual pace”