Labour market
Rates round-up: Australia signals more tightening to come
Guatemala and West African states increase rates, while Jamaica raises reserve requirement
What is happening to US wages?
Economists disagree over causes of real wage stagnation
How US demographics complicate the Fed’s job
Ageing population and pandemic legacy are confounding economists’ predictions
Israel continues tightening as inflation persists
Foreign minister attacks hike, forcing PM and finance minister to defend autonomy
BoT’s Sethaput on inflation dynamics, central bank mandates and multi-lateral payments
The Bank of Thailand governor speaks with Christopher Jeffery about the trend towards higher inflation, the sustainable finance challenge, experiments with CBDCs and governance issues related to multi-lateral payments
Colombia’s Villar says tight policy necessary for future growth
Governor says inflation more stubborn than in neighbours, but will fall soon
Rates round-up: Mexico adds 50bp
Mexico delivers surprise; Peru pauses tightening cycle; mixed decisions in Europe
Bank of Canada officials explain monetary policy transition
Central bank publishes first record of monetary policy meeting discussions
Dallas Fed research casts doubt on ‘soft landing’
US Fed chair Jerome Powell sees US worker shortages as “more structural than cyclical”
RBA makes ninth straight rise and forecasts more to come
Governor warns Australia will be slow to achieve its inflation target
Fed slows tightening cycle again with 25bp rate rise
More rate hikes likely as Powell expresses concern over expectations “getting unanchored”
IMF says global economy may be at ‘turning point’
China and India expected to drive half of global growth this year, but other economies are lagging
Sarb slows rate rises as South African economy falters
Blackouts may cost up to “two percentage points” of growth this year, central bank says
Colombia finance minister says no more rate hikes needed
Ocampo says December inflation figure of 13.1% was the peak level
BoE’s Pill says UK vulnerable to inflation persistence
Confluence of factors leaves UK in worse position than others, chief economist says
Cook suggests US may need to change inflation models
Fed governor believes inflation on path to 2% but tight labour market remains upside risk
FOMC waiting for ‘more evidence’ of inflation decline
December FOMC minutes show staff and policy-makers warning inflation risks remain high
Fed slows rate rises with 50bp increase
Powell stresses possibility of soft landing supported by “structural labour shortage”
Powell signals FOMC may slow pace of hikes
Fed hopes to remove labour market pressure by cutting number of job openings, Powell says
Chile’s Costa on tackling inflation, forex interventions and nowcasting
The Central Bank of Chile governor speaks about stubbornly high prices, Fed policy spillovers, reserve buffers, retail CBDC and the need to address unconscious bias
Book notes: Yellen, by Jon Hilsenrath
This book offers new insights into the tough decisions and tremendous efforts Yellen has made as a pre-eminent economic policy-maker
Menon urges policy-makers to take a longer term view
Climate change is “the mother of all supply-side shocks”, MAS chief says
Inflation: what went wrong, and why?
Charles Goodhart and Manoj Pradhan detail three theories on the causes of high inflation, as well as their implications for policy responses
Fed’s Waller: rates could go ‘well above’ 4%
Governor projects “significant” September hike and says it is “too early” to judge inflation drop