Interest rates
Spillovers more widespread than previously thought – Boston Fed
Many central banks cause spillovers besides the Federal Reserve, researcher says
Inflation impact of ECB tightening will peak in 2024, says research
Effect on economic activity is faster and will reach highest intensity in 2023
Argentina raises rates again
Economic stability grows more distant as elections loom
Lula’s risky challenge to the Brazilian central bank
President can nominate board members and increase inflation target as he pushes for lower rates
The allure of private markets
SWFs have piled into the asset class while reserve managers remain wary, writes Blake Evans-Pritchard
Fed communication drives house price expectations – NBER paper
Researchers find people’s expectations vary widely and depend on clear explanations
Peru holds rate at 7.75%
Central bank maintains policy unchanged since January, although inflation remains over target
PBoC asks banks to lower maximum deposit rates
Recent data suggest consumption demand remains weak despite lifting of Covid-19 restrictions
Norges Bank maintains counter-cyclical buffer at 2.5%
Norwegian central bank warns of banking and household risk
BoE raises rates 25bp and ditches UK recession forecast
Central bank predicts inflation will stay higher for longer after MPC splits 7–2 on policy hike
Eurozone consumer inflation expectations rose significantly, ECB says
Rise in expectations may bolster arguments for tighter monetary policy
IMF’s Adrian on the systemic threat posed by a ‘weak tail’ of financial institutions
The IMF’s financial counsellor speaks to Christopher Jeffery about bank runs and emergency interventions, market and oversight failings, and the need for action on run rate assumptions, interest rate risk, deposit insurance, crypto regulation and a ‘weak…
Advanced economies face slowdown and stubborn inflation
Jagjit Chadha analyses the shifting outlook for the world economy, with more hard work ahead for central banks
Eurozone interest rates should increase further, says Nagel
Bundesbank president stresses ECB will start reducing balance sheet at a faster pace from July
Brazil’s president selects ally for central bank board
Lula has repeatedly attacked central bank independence as well as the governor
China and Hong Kong set to launch Swap Connect
New trading link will make it easier for foreign investors to hedge interest rate risks
Another financial crisis hiding in plain sight
Steve Kamin analyses how the risks that sank SVB were plain enough to those who looked for them
Norges Bank increases rates by 25bp
Norwegian central bank says weaker exchange rate may require higher rates than expected
Brazilian MPC holds key rate again
Central bank warns of “lingering uncertainty” over future fiscal policy
Fed raises rates by 25bp as it chases lower core inflation
Policy-makers still need to “take away the punch bowl”, economist says
Extended QE creates pessimistic sentiment – Bank of Canada paper
News and social media “significantly” impact market sentiment, researchers say
Eurozone inflation rises to 7% in April
Core inflation declined to 5.6%, but energy prices grew again
BoG’s Addison: Ghana agrees to end monetary financing
Governor says MoU with finance ministry “has been finalised”, and the IMF deal will come by the end of May
Central bank negative equity: a risk governance perspective
Janet Cosier explains how risk planning, recapitalisation and transparency are key as central banks incur financial losses