Central Banking
Effective lower bound has ‘tail risk’ influence on monetary policy, ECB paper argues
The ‘tail risk’ induced by the possibility of rates reaching their effective lower bound can cause serious undershooting of inflation targets, an ECB working paper argues
Draghi: Central bankers must align policies
ECB president calls for greater alignment and better communication of economic policy across national borders; calls for globally co-ordinated fiscal expansion on lines of 2008-09
Dombret warns clearing and securities depository business may leave London
Bundesbank’s Andreas Dombret said London’s pull as a venue for euro trading would “shrivel” if the UK voted to leave the EU; warned EBA would need to find “new home”
IMF’s Lipton stresses importance of multilateralism
IMF first managing director calls for co-operation between emerging markets and advanced economies to help foster growth in the wake of Brexit
Reserve Bank of Malawi to improve monetary policy architecture
Bank moves towards fully fledged inflation targeting, embracing interest rate-based framework; IMF staff note importance of maintaining tight monetary policy
Ukraine unveils new asset disposal system in bid to reduce corruption
Anti-corruption campaigner joins central bank governor and other officials in announcing move towards unified online system for selling assets of insolvent banks
BoE injects £3.1bn liquidity into UK banks
First post-referendum liquidity auction sees banks draw £3.1 billion in long-term repos, mostly against the weakest eligible collateral class
Danish central bank urges Basel to rethink parameter floors
Lars Rohde warns parameter floors in IRB approaches could create an incentive for greater risk-taking in some markets, in response to Basel Committee consultation
Brexit wrong-foots some reserve managers
The sharp sell-off of UK assets following its decision to leave the European Union will create buying opportunities for others
Irish paper proposes three-phase model of volatility in bond markets
Irish paper finds ‘good’, ‘bad’ and ‘ugly’ phases in eurozone sovereign debt markets from 2003 to 2014; crisis not caused by changes to the shock mechanism, but by pre-existing cross-country links
Rajan has left his mark but risk of fiscal dominance remains
Vishrut Kansal examines the legal framework Raghuram Rajan’s successor will face, arguing much of the outgoing RBI governor’s work will continue but more safeguards are needed
Bank of Israel sees ‘Brexit’ increasing risks to outlook
Monetary committee warns it is too early to tell whether short-term effect on financial markets has run its course; Flug stresses both central bank and finance ministry “keeping close watch”
BoJ paper models impact of guidance on expectations
Announcing forward guidance before reaching the effective lower bound can help to “positively influence” inflation and output growth, the author finds
Sri Lankan governor will not seek reappointment until inquiry passes
Arjuna Mahendran says he will not apply for reappointment until the parliamentary committee publishes the findings of a probe into bond issuance; his first term expires on June 30
Dombrovskis replaces Hill in leading work on Capital Markets Union
Britain’s European finance commissioner resigns following referendum to be replaced by former Latvian PM; political timetable likely to delay further integration moves, analyst says
Prepare to fail
Jesper Berg offers advice to those looking to build financial stability frameworks, and says failure has to be part of the package
BIS: Central banks playing for 'high stakes' as financial cycles turn
Central banks need to lean against financial cycles but fiscal policy should come to their aid, BIS says; cycles may be turning in opposite directions in advanced and emerging economies
Analysts see intervention challenge for central banks
Following the fallout of EU referendum result, central banks step in to stabilise currency movements; analysts expect volatility to continue, but see challenges to intervention
PBoC governor sets out challenges of pursuing multiple objectives
Zhou Xiaochuan discusses how the People’s Bank of China expresses its multiple objectives as a function that can be optimised, while noting challenges posed to modelling and communications
BoJ aiming to make better use of upgraded settlement system
New version of BoJ-Net carries various advantages and has seen growing settlement volume, but the central bank wants to push this further
BoE seen shifting into easing mode
Many economists view Bank of England as likely to shift towards an easing bias, but the central bank may find itself with limited room for manoeuvre
Sarb sets out five-year strategy in annual report
Central bank outlines objectives to be achieved by 2020, including around reserves, inflation and counterfeiting; while governor praises progress of financial stability bill
Europe’s regulatory challenges seen increasing in wake of ‘Brexit’
The UK’s possible departure from the European Union could intensify regulatory problems in region, one analyst says; Mifid and European Banking Authority may be key areas of concern
EU exit vote throws up financial stability risks
UK plunged into uncertainty and markets hit hard, with bank stocks some of the worst affected, but more serious problems seem to have been avoided for now