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McTeer on economic prospects for the US

SPEECH - In the speech 'X' Bob McTeer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said as a central banker he should say something about inflation. "Well, it's low and conditions are already ripe for it to go lower. Especially if growth picks up. And a policy…

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee

MINUTES - The Federal Reserve on 30 January released the minutes of its FOMC meeting of 10 December. The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that economic growth had been sluggish on balance since midsummer. Industrial production dropped…

Does the Beige Book move financial markets?

RESEARCH - In the Atlanta Fed Working Paper 'Does the Beige Book Move Financial Markets?' the authors examine whether the descriptive content of the Beige Book affects asset prices. Their results indicate that more positive Beige Book reports on economic…

The Fed official who cried 'bubble'

ARTICLE - The article considers the recently released transcript of an FOMC meeting from five years ago. Jerry Jordan warns in the transcript that inflation may not be the main worry for US policy makers in the future. He apparently forewarns, "The…

IMF Working Paper Series

RESEARCH - In the paper 'Market Predictability of ECB Monetary Policy Decisions: A Comparative Examination' Kevin Ross tests the idea that surveys of the ECB's monetary framework emphasise the inability of financial markets to correctly predict monetary…

IMF Working Paper Series

RESEARCH - The paper 'Why Do Many Disinflations Fail? The Importance of Luck, Timing, and Political Institutions' published on 15 January considers why so many inflation stabilizations succeed only temporarily. The authors, Javier Hamann and Alessandro…

Broaddus on the economic outlook for 2003

SPEECH - In the speech 'The Economic Outlook for 2003' Alfred Broaddus of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond said he thought the Federal Reserve was unlikely to "run out of ammunition" as substantial levels of liquidity could still be introduced to the…

Kansas City Fed Economic Review, Fourth Quarter 02

PUBLICATION - The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has published the Fourth Quarter 2002 edition of its Economic Review. This edition contains articles from the bank's 2002 Economic Policy Symposium, 'Rethinking Stabilization Policy' - Central Bank…

Chicago Fed Letter, January 2003 Special Issue

REPORT - The latest Chicago Fed Letter is titled 'Any bounce in the economy in 2003?'. The U.S. economy is growing, albeit at a sluggish pace. What can we expect in 2003? After an impressive performance through the recent recession, will consumer…

Santomero on The Economic Outlook

SPEECH - In the speech 'The Economic Outlook - Technology on the Horizon' Anthony Santomero of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said he expects 2003 to be a transition year for the national economy on the path to sustained expansion. Stimulative…

No way to run the world's biggest economy

ARTICLE - The article says that the US economy needs a sizeable short-term stimulus to prevent deflation. While the Federal Reserve has led the way, the chronic shortage of saving in the US has reduced policy options, including the possibility of tax…

Broaddus sees recovery continuing in 2003

Richmond Federal Reserve President Alfred Broaddus on Thursday said he saw the U.S. recovery rolling ahead this year, while cautioning that risks still lurked, such as a long war with Iraq and the seven-week-old Venezuelan workers' strike.

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