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Focus on distortions - Blanchard

In his Mundell-Fleming Lecture, MIT economist Oliver Blanchard suggests that the outcome of potential government intervention to address current global imbalances is uncertain.

Explaining US imbalances

In this new NBER working paper, Fabrizio Perri and Alessandra Fogli argue that an external imbalance is a natural consequence of the decline in the volatility of the US business cycle.

Chicago Fed National Activity Index, October 2006

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2006, published 21 November, was -0.31 in October, slightly up from -0.38 in September. All of the four broad categories of indicators made negative contributions to the index.

Warsh on financial markets and the Federal Reserve

In the speech 'Financial markets and the Federal Reserve' given on 21 November Kevin Warsh of the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is still at risk of higher inflation, although market signals point to a gradual receding of price gains.

Chicago Fed's Moskow on the US economic outlook

In the speech 'U.S. economic outlook' given on 16 November Michael Moskow of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said the risk of inflation in the US remaining too high, rather than a slowing economy, is the Federal Reserve's main concern.

New York Fed's Foreign Exchange Operations Report

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Treasury and Federal Reserve Foreign Exchange Operations quarterly report for July-September 2006, published 16 November, the U.S. monetary authorities did not intervene in the foreign exchange markets…

Poole on responding to financial crises

In the speech 'Responding to financial crises: What role for the Fed?' given on 16 November William Poole of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis said the Fed should play as limited a role as possible in a financial market crisis and took aim at Fannie…

US renews calls for China yuan reform

US Deputy Treasury Secretary Robert Kimmitt on Friday 17 November called on China to move more quickly to reform its currency and said he would likely discuss the issue with Chinese officials at the Group of 20 meeting in Melbourne.

Fed's Kroszner on conquest of worldwide inflation

In the speech 'The conquest of worldwide inflation: Currency competition and its implications for interest rates and the yield curve' given on 16 November Randall Kroszner of the Federal Reserve said better performance by central banks around the world…

Rubin, Volcker see shift away from dollar

Robert E. Rubin, Treasury secretary under President Bill Clinton, and former Federal Reserve chairman Paul Volcker have questioned whether foreign investors will keep increasing dollar holdings.

Bernanke seen as unlikely to push inflation target

This article from the Finanical Times, published Wednesday 15 November, says that fallout from the Democrats recent victories could include a slow down in Ben Bernanke's drive to lead the Federal Reserve towards adopting a numerical inflation target.

St Louis Fed's Poole on U.S. labor input

In the speech 'U.S. labor input in coming years' given on 14 November William Poole of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis said the aging U.S. workforce and a declining number of people who want to work may hit growth and make the central bank's job…

Phil Fed's Survey of Professional Forecasters

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia published its Fourth Quarter 2006 Survey of Professional Forecasters on 13 November. The rate of growth in U.S. output over the next few quarters looks slower now than it did just three months ago, according to 51…

Bernanke holds fewer political meetings

According to data gathered by an academic, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke is holding fewer political meetings than his predecessor, Alan Greenspan, did in the last five years of his term at the Fed.

Bernanke on monetary aggregates & monetary policy

In the speech 'Monetary aggregates and monetary policy at the Federal Reserve: A historical perspective' given on 10 November Ben Bernanke of the Federal Reserve said the Fed will continue to monitor and analyse money growth even though the relationship…

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