United Kingdom
Fixing a forecasting model that ain't broke
ARTICLE - The Bank of England is due to start using a new forecasting model from June this year onwards. This article suggests that while it is good to keep up with the latest developments in economics, the new model has not been fully tested and that…
Barker on adjusting to low inflation
SPEECH - In the speech 'Adjusting to low inflation - Issues for policy' Kate Barker of the Bank of England said that if the Bank tried to control the build-up of house-hold debt, it might restrain growth in the economy, making people worse off and…
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Minutes
MINUTES - Minutes of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee Meeting released on 19 February for the meeting of 5 and 6 February 2003. The minutes show seven members of the Committee (the Governor, Mervyn King, Christopher Allsopp, Kate Barker,…
Bank of England committee split 7-2 over rate cut
The Bank of England's monetary policy committee voted by 7 to 2 in favour of this month's surprise quarter-point cut in interest rates to 3.75 per cent, minutes of its meeting released on Wednesday showed.
Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, January 2003
REPORT - The Bundesbank said in its January 2003 monthly report that there were further job cuts and unemployment increased significantly. The price climate in Germany at the end of 2002 remained favourable. The rate of consumer price increase remained…
Bank of England's MPC set for change
The MPC looks set for a shake up and shift in balance with two noted doves due to leave by July and when the hawkish Mervyn King takes over as governor a new deputy will have to be sought.
Julius joins ex-MPC member at hedge fund
DeAnne Julius, a former member of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee, has joined her old colleague Sushil Wadhwani at a hedge fund which manages $1bn (UK £625m).
Bank of England Press Release
PRESS RELEASE - Modelling and Forecasting at the Bank of England - The Pagan Report and the Bank's Response, 30 January.
Pagan Report on the Bank of England's Model
REPORT - The Pagan Report on Modelling and Forecasting at the Bank of England, 30 January. Professor Pagan concludes that the model does not represent the 'state of the art'. But he also concludes that the deficiencies of the model have not detracted…
A funny way to manage Europe's money
ARTICLE - This article looks at the potential for enlargement of the eurozone and its impact on the ECB's governing council. The author sees problems ahead saying that today's 18 member council is already too large and proposals for rotational voting…
Bean on economists and the real world
SPEECH - In the speech 'Economists and the Real World' Charles Bean of the Bank of England said it is often said that central bank independence is desirable because it takes the politics out of monetary policy. He also said an important feature of the…
Bank of England's model comes in for criticism
Research has cast doubt on the accuracy of forecasting models used by the Bank of England. It suggests the models forecast for inflation two years ahead was on average 0.5 percentage points too high.
Treasury Committee assess euro entry prospects
A series of hearings continued Tuesday with a distinguished panel of experts giving evidence to the UK's Treasury Select Committee on the prospects for UK euro entry. The group called for reform of the ECB with a redefined inflation target and gave a…
Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Minutes
MINUTES - Minutes of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee Meeting released on 22 January for the meeting of 8 and 9 January 2003. The same pattern of voting was seen at this meeting as in the previous two meetings. The nine MPC members voted…
UK rate setters worry about global economy
The stalemate within the Bank of England's monetary policy committee continued this month, with two members voting for a rate cut at a fourth consecutive meeting, and some expressing concern about the global economy.
Edward George at the Scottish Bankers Dinner
SPEECH - In a speech Sir Edward George of the Bank of England said it would be unwise to set monetary policy on the basis of the worst possible outcome. Risks to the economy, including a sharp fall in consumer spending and a house price crash, "need to…
UK Treasury Committee - Review inflation targeting
The UK's House of Commons Treasury Select Committee on Thursday criticised Chancellor Gordon Brown's economic policy and suggested a review of the Bank of England's inflation target.
Report - UK on track to pass euro convergence test
The economies of Britain and the euro-zone have converged since the new euro currency was launched four years ago - and there is no sign that this general trend will end, according to a study by PricewaterhouseCoopers, the accounting firm.
Bank of England Press Release
PRESS RELEASE - Bank of England Maintains Interest Rates at 4.0%, 9 January.
Making too much of the 'right' time
LETTER - A reply to the article 'Sweden can thrive without the euro' asks the question, How can countries such as Sweden, Denmark and the UK have a constructive role in Europe unless they fully participate in a Europe-wide economic system.
Euro coins spend their first year at home
The euro has made life easier for travellers between the 12 countries that adopted the single currency a year ago. But euros appear to be more of a stay-at-home coinage than expected.
Nickell on house prices and household debt
SPEECH - In the speech 'House Prices, Household Debt and Monetary Policy' Stephen Nickell of the Bank of England said an interest rate reduction at present would affect house prices, household borrowing and consumption, which are already increasing…
Bank of England Inflation Attitudes Survey, Nov 02
REPORT - The Bank of England's November 2002 quarterly Inflation Attitudes Survey was published on 16 December. The survey measures public attitudes to inflation in the UK. The latest survey shows 56% of respondents think the 2.5% inflation target is…
Bank of England Press Release
PRESS RELEASE - Sale of Bank of England Banknote Printing Operations, 17 December.