Central Banks
Older population increases financial fraud risks – Atlanta Fed
Most financial exploitation of elderly goes unreported, researcher says
US expansion set to continue in H2 2018 – Dallas Fed
US enjoys strong consumer spending, a healthy labour market and inflation on target
Weak inflation keeps rates at record low in Israel
Bureau of statistics revised economic forecasts upwards in the face of solid growth
Goldman, Morgan Stanley push for stress test changes
Balance sheets will shrink in a crisis, not grow, trading houses argue
Turkish lira reaches fresh low as crisis impacts emerging markets
Central bank announces lower reserve requirements in bid to increase liquidity
New York Fed publishes nowcasting code
Matlab code for estimating a dynamic factor model now available in online repository
West Bank weakness drives economic slowdown in Palestine
Palestine Monetary Authority notes “significant drop” in West Bank conditions index
Non-linear mortgage features can impact policymaking – BoE paper
Non-linear features of mortgages impact policymaking in a DSGE model, the authors find
The perilous road to normality
Many central banks are starting to tighten policy, but their room for error is limited and their final destination unclear. What more can they do?
Trump and Erdoğan: cut from the same populist cloth
Barry Eichengreen compares the respective strongmen of the US and Turkey, as the latter country spirals towards crisis
Imperfect algorithms impact market pricing – Fed paper
News-parsing algorithms create temporary distortions and may cut liquidity, paper finds
US stimulus could accelerate policy normalisation – IMF research
Higher growth could increase imbalances and fuel calls for more protectionism
IMF backs RBI’s Patel in call for full oversight powers
Fund urges Indian authorities to grant the central bank full powers over public sector banks
Central Bank of Myanmar governor reappointed
The 79-year-old junta-era official will lead the central bank until 2023, but some observers see him as an obstacle to change
Turkish lira down 22% as crisis builds
Lira collapses and bond yields soar as Donald Trump unveils fresh sanctions
RBA trims inflation projections on low wage growth
Weaker outlook leads RBA to cut CPI forecasts to 1.75% in December 2018 from 2.25%