Monetary Policy
Fed's Rosengren warns against exceeding full employment
Boston Fed president says significantly overshooting full employment, which he estimates at 4.7%, could lead to an overheating economy and “rapid removal” of monetary policy accommodation
Paper explores monetary policy and bank liability structure
Banque de France working paper analyses US banking data from 1994 to 2008; provides new empirical support for bank lending channel of monetary policy, author argues
Fed should stay the course with gradual rate rises – Lacker
The Federal Open Market Committee should continue raising rates, suggests Richmond Fed president; oil price falls and financial markets volatility both stabilising, Lacker argues
Kuroda: Negative rates having ‘visible’ impact on JGB yields
Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda says rates are falling across the yield curve, falling negative up to a maturity of “around” 10 years; sees effects spreading in future
Bank of England to react ‘more cautiously’ to data in light of EU referendum
Uncertainty over referendum to affect macroeconomic data over next few months; inflation rising but still well below BoE target
Embargoed lock-ups scrapped after RBNZ confirms leak
Report says a journalist leaked the March 10 cut to colleagues; Reserve Bank of New Zealand ends practice of allowing media and analysts advance access to rate decisions and major reports
John Taylor offers way out of downward interest rate spiral
Stanford University professor says a return to more “rule-like” policy-making could help bring easing cycle to an end, with the Fed playing a key role
Towards a more stable monetary world order
A global network of independent central banks could act as a manager of expectations for asset and foreign exchange prices to reduce the burden of future crises, argues David Harrison
Canada holds rate but raises growth forecast in light of fiscal boost
Stephen Poloz highlights “more favourable policy mix” in press conference; central bank notes emergence of “positive forces” in decision
BoE assumes control of interest rate benchmark
Central bank to take responsibility for overnight benchmark, planning to broaden the transactions underpinning its calculation; WMBA to retain role in calculating and publishing figures
Viñals supports negative interest rates in current climate
Financial counsellor believes negative rates are helpful, but there are limits regarding how low they can go and how long they can stay there
Advanced economies could learn from EM counterparts in managing balance sheets, paper says
Composition of advanced economies' balance sheets is aligning in some respects to their EM counterparts, largely as a consequence of increasing size since the financial crisis, paper says
Data dependence catching on, says San Fran Fed president
Market participants have become more responsive to economic news since 2015 in both the US and UK, research by Benjamin Pyle and John Williams finds
Mexican deputy calls for ‘proper consideration’ of peers
Mexican deputy stresses need for improved policy communication between advanced economies and emerging markets
Senior IMF figures support nominal negative rates
Negative nominal interest rates can help deliver additional monetary stimulus, senior figures at the IMF "tentatively" conclude
Visco warns of danger of revising wages down if inflation undershoots predictions
Some Italian contracts will be downwardly revising elements of pay if inflation undershoots expectations, Ignazio Visco says; general adoption of this rule could harm the ECB’s policy
Operational reform has not impacted longer term rates, BoE working paper says
Reserve averaging and reserve targets reduced volatility in overnight rate but had little impact on longer-term rates, research finds
Summers: Fed is not ready for next crisis
Secular stagnation has left Federal Reserve short on firepower as the next recession looms, economist says; urges greater willingness to risk inflation overshoot and action by fiscal authorities
Skingsley sees turning point for Riksbank policy
Immediate threat is fading, enabling the central bank to focus more on longer-term risks, deputy governor says