Sweden’s Riksbank has mixed forecasting performance, report finds

Riksbank “relatively good” at projecting growth and unemployment, but less so when it comes to the policy rate

Riksbank details forecasting accuracy in latest account of monetary policy
Photo: Sveriges Riksbank

Compared with other analysts, Sveriges Riksbank made “relatively good” forecasts of GDP growth and unemployment during the period 2007–2015, according to the Swedish central bank’s annual Account of monetary policy. But it was not as accurate when it came to inflation and the repo rate, with its forecasts here “poorer” than average.

The bank suggested the low accuracy for interest rate forecasts could in part be down to the “Riksbank’s need ... to assess the development of the (real) interest

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