Articles by Central Banking Newsdesk
Competition makes mutuals safer, commercial banks riskier
Bank of Korea research paper shows higher concentration in a less competitive loan market has increased default risks of mutual savings banks since the recent crisis
Spanish paper preaches caution over DSGE models
Researcher finds that DSGE models would not have proved any more use to policy-makers in the 1970s than their ‘old-style’ Phillips curves; warns against putting too much faith in their prescriptions
Bundesbank paper says media exposure shapes inflation expectations
Discussion paper examines how and why inflation expectations differ between the German population; where people go for news is an important factor
ECB paper backs broader financing alternatives
Occasional paper says the ECB’s monetary polices has had an ‘uneven effect’ on eurozone businesses; calls for more diverse capital structures
Central Bank of Peru grapples with Fed tapering while rooting for a US recovery
Peru is more insulated against shocks to its financial system than in the past but managing uncertainty has never been tougher, central bank governor Julio Velarde tells Central Banking
RBI study warns against rate cut to stimulate growth
Study by members of policy and statistics departments says any benefits of a rate cut would be offset by higher inflation; Rajan points to stronger economic institutions as the key
‘Striking similarities' between eurozone and the pre-1914 gold standard
Both monetary arrangements provide underdeveloped peripheral countries with easy access to capital from the core countries, triggering asset price booms via the banking system in peripheral countries
Philadelphia paper models export dynamics after large devaluations
Working paper says that exports responds ‘sluggishly’ to a large currency depreciation; creates a model to capture these dynamics and explore their macroeconomic impacts
Cleveland Fed’s Pianalto signals willingness to taper
Sandra Pianalto recognises ‘meaningful improvement’ in labour market conditions and outlook; prepared to scale back asset purchases if current pace of progress is maintained
German experience offers macro-prudential lessons for Europe, says Buba's Dombret
Germany's approach to macro-prudential oversight could offer insights into how to democratise ‘hard' policy tools and define the role of national central banks, says the Bundesbank's Andreas Dombret
Financial fragmentation persistent in face of loose monetary policy stance
ECB article provides evidence of heterogeneous interest rate pass-through in the four largest eurozone economies, based on new models
BoJ and BoK vote to keep interest rates unchanged
Bank of Japan keeps rates at zero and will continue asset purchases for 'as long as necessary' to hit 2% inflation target; regional impact of possible US tapering remains uncertain
Worrell rules out devaluing Barbadian dollar
Central Bank of Barbados concerned by foreign exchange imbalance emerging in the economy; calls on government to reduce fiscal deficit in bid to avoid devaluation of currency
Form of fractional reserve banking guarantees solvency for member banks
Research paper claims joint-liability bank coalition is a welfare-improving mechanism that allows members of society to achieve better allocation of resources, making it a ‘truly superior form of banking'
SNB researchers find modified Arima model predicts inflation better
Estimating Arima models for individual CPI expenditure items and aggregating the forecasts from these models gives better results than directly applying the Arima method to the total CPI, paper finds
Monetary union leads to too much fiscal discipline, research paper finds
Paul de Grauwe and Yuemei Ji argue that sovereignty lost with the creation of the eurozone prompted dramatic effects that were largely overlooked by the currency area's designers
Romanian interest rates could fall yet further, says central bank
National Bank of Romania uses quarterly inflation report to signal it is likely to continue monetary easing, as inflationary pressures dissipate and growth remains weak
Regulators need a ‘holistic' view of the global financial system, says RBA's Debelle
RBA assistant governor Guy Debelle said that limited understanding of how financial reforms interact should not prompt regulators to ‘pick and choose' or delay their implementation
Laffer curve changes shape when government debt varies
The Laffer curve changes depending whether transfers or government debt are varied to balance the government budget constraint, Banque de France paper shows; curve looks like horizontal 'S' when debt varies
IMF reports show French and German banking sectors are key to European stability
IMF urges France to do away with tax disincentives to deposits in an effort to broaden banks' funding sources; emphasises Germany's role in forging a robust eurozone financial architecture
Low correlation between relative consumption and price not due to market inefficiency
Central Bank of Luxembourg paper attempts to explain why the correlation between real exchange rates and relative consumption is either low or negative
South African market inefficiencies keep ‘insiders happy and outsiders out'
Sarb deputy governor Francois Groepe says speedy implementation of key proposals in the National Development Plan would be a good start for spurring more inclusive growth
Kenyan central bank defends depreciating shilling
The Kenyan shilling has dropped almost 5% in value against the dollar since May; central bank insists this is a necessary rebalancing and does not pose any damaging inflationary pressures – yet
German paper proposes new method for identifying time-invariant regressors
Discussion paper says existing techniques used to identify time-invariant regressors in dynamic panel data models are ‘quite biased’ and proposes a two-stage alternative