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Higher economic uncertainty is harbinger of civil conflict – Bank of Spain research
Spain suffered rising levels of economic uncertainty leading up to 1936–39 civil war
Some firms need to provide ‘better’ information to BoE – David Bailey
Executive director says BoE must have sufficient influence over supervisory outcomes post-Brexit
IMF raises precautionary balance target by a quarter
Some executive board members wanted higher raise amid uncertainty over pandemic’s impact
Terms of trade shocks not symmetric – BoE paper
Developing countries particularly vulnerable to export shocks, study finds
SNB expects $23.5 billion profit in 2020
Profits on foreign currency positions account for $14.6 billion
Fed’s Clarida says vaccine rollout has ‘brightened’ 2021 economic outlook
Rising Covid cases are downside in near term, but economy should bounce back, says vice-chair
People: Rolle gets second governor term at Central Bank of Bahamas
Bahamas governor get second five-year term; new director-general for information systems appointed at ECB; Central Bank of Namibia recruits banking operations head, and more
RBNZ suffers data breach in third-party system
Governor says breach is “contained” and investigations are ongoing
Paper presents forecasting method for bank losses
Bank of Finland paper attempts to forecast both “expected” and “unexpected” banking losses
Firms and households form inflation expectations very differently – paper
Confidence in economy has strongly divergent effects, Central Bank of Ireland research finds
Central banks must become ‘market-makers of last resort’ – BoE’s Hauser
Measures used in Covid-19 crisis are insufficient for the long term, BoE official says
BdF paper looks at fiscal responses to liquidity traps
Infrastructure spending is more robust to model specification changes than sales tax- paper
Argentinian central bank puts cap on imported luxury goods
BCRA bids to preserve foreign currency as international reserves decline to $39.4 billion
William Allen (1937–2021)
Second governor of the Central Bank of Bahamas who later served as finance minister
FOMC members welcomed ‘outcome-based’ guidance on QE
Fed policy-makers emphasised importance of balance sheet being used flexibly, minutes show
Pandemic has raised risks for smaller UK financial firms – FCA
Over a fifth of firms responding to survey are at heightened risk of failure, UK regulator says
RBI’s training college for supervisors goes fully operational
Governor aims to build class of professional supervisors, as Indian banking sector remains fragile
Macro-prudential policies cut liquidity trap risk – ECB paper
Fall in systematic risk boosts natural interest rate and reduces intensity of liquidity traps, paper finds
Furlough schemes may conceal slack in EU labour market – ECB research
The longer the pandemic continues, the more job reallocation will be needed, authors say
Economics courses should be mandatory within schools – Mester
Addressing the economics diversity issue at university is too late, Cleveland Fed president says
MAS completes first phase of AI ethics initiative
‘Veritas’ aims to tackle bias in AI-driven financial services
ECB outlines changes to forecasting during Covid
High-frequency data, GDP-at-risk, changes to use of PMI and stringency index all useful, authors say
Tourism acts as Covid-19 amplifier in the eurozone
Shock is increasing fragmentation risks in the region due to its uneven effect across countries
People: San Francisco Fed appoints strategy and people officer
Dallas and San Francisco Feds appoint officials; new ECB comms chief takes up role; Bank of Greece adviser to head up payments network