Inflation
Icelandic finance minister backs euro switch
Katrín Júlíusdóttir says adopting euro could help to restrain inflation and boost investment; Central Bank of Iceland publishes annual report
CNB research finds exchange rate moves dampen shocks
Working paper finds exchange rate shocks are only minor contributors to the variance of output and inflation; says koruna-euro exchange rate is a shock absorber for the economy
RBA deputy governor says record low rates are beginning to work
Philip Lowe defends six rate cuts since November 2011, saying there are signs the Australian economy is beginning to respond to the stimulus; urges patience while effects feed through
Korean paper says welfare cost of inflation is ‘underestimated’
Study contends that treating assets within M1 – the measure of cash and liquid assets in the economy – as non-interest-bearing in models fails to take into account full cost of inflation
BoE chief economist warns against inflation complacency
Bank of England’s Spencer Dale says he is concerned by ‘dangerous talk’ suggesting MPC should focus more on growth
Shirakawa examines ways for Japan to hit 2% inflation target
Bank of Japan governor says inflation will only be beneficial if it is driven by the right factors; says improved expectations are key to restoring Japan’s growth potential
BoJ changes represent the death knell for central bank independence
The growing policy crisis caused by central banks taking on roles beyond price stability and lender of last resort is not down to 'independence' – as the BoJ case points out
RBI governor defends 3% inflation target
Duvvuri Subbarao says India’s high inflation in recent years does not represent a ‘new normal’; rejects upping the central bank’s 3% target
National Bank of Poland says rate cuts will bring inflation up to target
Polish inflation projected to fall to 1.3% in 2013 before rising to 2.6% in 2014, after benchmark rate slashed by 150 basis points in five months
Riksbank report deflects criticism over persistent below-target inflation
Economic commentary says low inflation is partly caused by factors outside the Riksbank’s control; argues tight policy cannot take all the blame for high unemployment
Bank of Japan paper shows popping bubbles may require volatile inflation
Research finds inflation can remain stable while asset price bubbles develop, implying optimal monetary policy should tighten to reduce the bubble at the cost of below-target inflation
Cleveland paper trumpets value of median CPI in forecasting
Research says median CPI – a ‘trimmed’ measure of inflation – can improve the accuracy of forecasts involving a range of macroeconomic variables
BoJ survey shows households expect tough times to continue
Households see economic conditions as worse than a quarter ago and likely to stay the same, although the majority thinks prices will rise in the coming years
BoE MPC member makes case for more stimulus
David Miles presents model that suggests monetary policy is probably still too tight in the UK; says more QE would be one way to address this, but other easing strategies could also work
Bank of Finland paper urges QE use outside crises
Analysis based on DSGE model finds asset purchases are a useful monetary policy tool in all states of the economy, but should be co-ordinated with conventional interest rate policy
RBA minutes warn growth may wobble in 2013
Minutes suggest economy is struggling to rebalance away from mining as peak in resource investment approaches, but low inflation gives room for further rate cuts
BoE’s Weale warns of burgeoning inflation risk due to weak pound
Monetary Policy Committee member says further depreciation of the pound could push inflation further from its target, but the Bank of England might just have to weather the storm
Serbian director hints at possible easing in coming months
Head of National Bank of Serbia’s research department sees inflationary pressure easing and the Serbian economy returning to growth; says this may prompt cuts in the near future
Fed paper examines costs of trend inflation variance
Study finds an increase in the volatility of trend inflation imposes a modest welfare cost on the economy
King insists economy must rebalance
Governor says Bank of England can still contribute to recovery but is running up an ‘ever steeper hill’; inflation report downbeat on growth and inflation prospects
Colombian paper finds flaws in inflation forecasting
Research by the Central Bank of Colombia says many central banks have scope to improve the accuracy of their inflation forecasts
BoJ board member says 2% target is not sustainable
Takehiro Sato explains his vote against Bank of Japan’s inflation target change, and says central bank will not intervene to depress the value of the yen – but the government might
Robert Pringle’s Viewpoint: Assessing Masaaki Shirakawa’s legacy
The policies of outgoing Bank of Japan governor, Masaaki Shirakawa, have brought economic stability to Japan and are likely to be viewed favourably by future generations
RBA holds rates but suggests cuts could follow
Reserve Bank of Australia holds interest rate at 3%; governor says stable inflation would allow board to make cuts and boost demand if needed