Inflation
Poland keeps rates unchanged on lower global growth
Solid growth and strong demand push inflation slightly over target
Machine learning can produce better forecasts – RBI paper
ML tends to outperform standard models, but combining forecasts is best, authors say
30 years of forecasting: have central banks learned anything?
Forecasting models are constantly being upgraded, but forecast errors are still persistent. What more can central banks do?
Riksbank maintains tightening plans despite lower rates globally
Sweden’s central bank adds it will increase rates at a slower pace than it planned earlier in 2019
BIS authors offer advice on escaping low inflation trap
Luiz Pereira da Silva and co-authors say “snapback” unlikely, given changing labour markets
Chile cuts rates again on lower inflation forecasts
Central bank reduces policy rate by 50 basis points to 2%; signals more stimulus may be needed
Argentine governor demands political consensus on macroeconomic framework
Sandleris says every election unleashes market volatility and disrupts stabilisation efforts
Argentina reimposes currency controls as peso plummets
Authorities aim to stem depreciation of peso, which has fallen 23.9% against dollar since August 11
Inflation edges higher as Fed prepares for next meeting
Consumer spending boosts economy, but recent sentiment data suggests it could be about change
San Fran Fed president ‘biased’ towards a hot economy
Gains from a hot economy disproportionately flow to disadvantaged groups, Daly says
Eurozone inflation to remain at 1% in August – official data
Below-target inflation may support loosening announcement by ECB on September 12
Argentina opens IMF talks as crisis deepens
Government extends debt maturity and pledges reserves will not be used to repay international investors
BoE policy-makers face fallout from political chaos
November policy decision could be unveiled on an election day; new analysis by MPC members suggests worst economic impact yet to come
Israeli central bank faces hard choices, analysts say
MPC says Israeli currency’s strength is helping to keep inflation below target
Negative rates could lower inflation expectations – San Fran Fed paper
Japanese inflation expectations fell after BoJ introduced negative rates, researchers find
Bank of Jamaica cuts rates
Move aims to keep inflation within its target band
Iceland cuts rates again
Decision follows rate reductions in May and June, placing key rate at 3.5%
Egypt sharply cuts rates as inflation slides
Central bank resumes easing cycle, reducing rates by 150 basis points
Germany issues first ever zero coupon 30-year bond
Move raises questions over how ECB will respond to tough conditions, analysts say
Overcoming deflation: Japan’s experience and challenges ahead
Bank of Japan governor Haruhiko Kuroda explains how Japan’s long battle against deflation may offer insights for the future conduct of monetary policy at other central banks
Latin America’s escape from hyperinflation
Adoption of inflation targeting, flexible exchange rates and prudent fiscal policies in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru ended decades of runaway inflation
Argentine governor rules out defending peso ‘far from’ economic fundamentals
Sandleris reaffirms commitment to tight monetary policy to tame inflation
Anticipation of fiscal stimulus has ‘sizeable’ impact on growth – paper
Passing the 2018 US Bipartisan Budget Act increased GDP by 1%, researchers find
RBA ready to cut rates below record-low 1% – minutes
On August 6, central bank cut its growth projections on higher international trade tensions