Asset prices
Larry Summers on stagflation risks, lessons from Delphi and never-ending ‘punch’
The former US Treasury secretary speaks about fiscal ‘overexpansion’, Fed/Treasury debt discord, the pitfalls of ‘unknown unknowns’ and central bankers ‘unable’ to remove the ‘punchbowl’
The ‘golden age’ of central banking has passed
Central banks face multi-faceted challenges and weakened autonomy amid highly polarised inflation expectations
Trends in reserve management 2021: survey results
Results of the 17th annual Reserve Management Trends survey of reserve managers conducted in February and March 2021
Research urges ECB to consider establishing ‘fossil bank’
Entity would play similar role to ‘bad banks’ established after financial crisis
Should the Fed’s Fima facility be made permanent?
The emergency repo facility reassures reserve managers about access to dollar cash during a breakdown in the US Treasuries market
The future of forward guidance
BNP Paribas Asset Management explores the current landscape around forward guidance, focusing on how central banks’ methods of communication are likely to evolve in the future. By Richard Barwell
Yellen unsettles markets with rate rise comments
Treasury secretary’s offhand comment about raising interest rates leads to stock selloff
A latent rise in r* could upend monetary policy
A rising natural rate could create serious challenges for policy-makers, write Jorma Schäublin and Philip Turner
A rebuttal of Philip Turner’s criticism of the BIS ‘house view’
Robert Pringle critiques the key findings raised in Philip Turner’s occasional paper, ‘The new monetary policy revolution: advice and dissent’
Central bank of the year: The Federal Reserve System
Overwhelming Fed interventions in March 2020 forestalled a damaging global financial crisis, as policy overhaul prompts introspection in Europe and Japan
Book notes: Asset management at central banks and monetary authorities, edited by Jacob Bjorheim
This excellent book fills a critical gap existing since IMF guidelines on asset management were revised
Fed’s 2021 stress test includes major asset price shock
CCAR will evaluate 19 largest banks; scenario includes 55% fall in equity prices
The Covid crisis, central banks and the future
Crisis responses have had positive initial outcomes, but also exacerbated significant underlying challenges that raise concerns related to exit strategies and the future for central banks
ECB steps up work on climate change
Central bank launches climate change centre and invests in new BIS green bond fund
Is there a path between the Covid abyss and chasm of financial risk?
Macro-prudential policies are being used to prevent economies from falling into the Covid abyss while also ensuring that a correction in ever-higher asset prices do not crush the economy. Are both objectives achievable?
BoE expands asset purchases as UK locks down again
MPC publishes more pessimistic forecast of 11% growth contraction and high unemployment
Banking sector resilience ‘likely to be tested’ – IMF’s Adrian
Fund’s stability report says vulnerabilities are high and rising, creating difficult policy choices
Japan’s economy needs bolder policies
PM Abe announces decision to step down with many goals still unachieved
RBNZ investigating use of negative rates, official says
New Zealand central bank would only use measure if necessary, assistant governor says
James Bullard on the Fed’s policy review, FSOC and forecasting jobs data
St Louis Fed president discusses his support for average inflation targeting, his concerns about US Treasuries market function, non-bank regulatory weakness and negative rates, as well as the unexpected success in using Homebase data to predict highly…
After social distancing: prepare for national distancing
If the Covid-19 pandemic triggers a desire to onshore production, international capital flows will come under a new spotlight
Fed’s safety nets are ‘fundamentally unsustainable’
The Fed’s new safety nets will allow “zombie companies” to thrive and drag down productivity; ever-increasing levels of interventions are “fundamentally unsustainable, intertemporally”, says William White
Fed poised to purchase corporate bonds next week
New York Fed will create a portfolio to track the US corporate bond market under new plans
Football stadiums to airlines: BoE reveals commercial paper holdings
Central bank has taken on exposures to a wide range of businesses – including polluters