Research
The importance of monetary aggregates
This ECB working paper presents a strong argument in favour of using monetary aggregates as an analytical tool for predicting future inflation.
Why is the dollar so high?'
In this paper, Martin Feldstein, once considered a frontrunner to replace Alan Greenspan as chairman of the US Federal Reserve, argues that a decline of the real value of the dollar that is large enough to reduce the current account deficit significantly…
A user's guide to derivatives data
This research note by US Federal Reserve discusses the potential use of newly-collected data on cross-border derivatives.
Research on negative savings rates
This research by the New York Fed suggests that the macroeconomic risks and those to individual households' well-being, associated with negative personal savings rates are overstated.
A primer on Islamic finance
This IMF working paper provides a review of the current state of market development in Islamic finance and examines the legal and economic implications of shariah compliance.
Assessing financial soundness indicators
This paper analyses the relationship between selected macroeconomic and financial soundness indicators (FSIs) such as capital adequacy, asset quality and profitability.
Governors matter - new paper
This new working paper from the Peterson Institute for International Economics looks at whether or not monetary policy expectations are affected by the appointment of a new central bank governor.
Monetary operations in China
This Bank of Japan Working Paper suggests that the People's Bank of China's money market operations have been focused mainly on China-US interest rate differentials for the sake of stability in the Renminbi exchange rate after the July 2005 reform.
Latest St Louis Fed Review published
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis has published its May/June issue of its Review, a journal covering national and international economic developments, particularly focusing on their monetary aspects.
Papers for Kansas Fed payments event
Non-banks are becoming increasingly prominent in payments systems around the world. The three-day conference look at the implications of this heightened presence for innovation, competition and risk.
Kansas Fed papers: Nonbanks in payments system
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has published preliminary papers from the "Nonbanks in the Payments System: Innovation, Competition, and Risk," conference held May 2-4 in Santa Fe, N.M.
BIS Paper on globalisation and inflation
The BIS Working Paper "Globalisation and inflation: New cross-country evidence on the global determinants of domestic inflation" published 11 May argues that prevailing models of inflation are too "country-centric", in that they fail to take sufficient…
IMF Paper: Global imbalances & financial stability
This IMF Working Paper discusses two opposing views on global imbalances: The "traditional view", which regards the imbalances as a threat to global economic and financial stability, and the "new paradigm" view.
IMF paper: Jordan's international reserve position
This IMF Working Paper uses several traditional measures of reserves adequacy to compare Jordan's reserve holdings with other emerging market countries.
BoC paper on new accounting standards
The Bank of Canada Discussion Paper "Implications of new accounting standards for the Bank of Canada's balance sheet" looks at the new accounting standards implemented by the CICA for the valuation and reporting of financial instruments.
RBA paper on forecasting with factors
The Reserve Bank of Australia Research Discussion Paper "Forecasting with factors: The accuracy of timeliness" demonstrates that factor-based forecasts for key Australian macroeconomic series can outperform standard time-series benchmarks.
IMF paper on Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe's losses
The IMF Working Paper 'Central bank quasi-fiscal losses and high inflation in Zimbabwe: A note' says Zimbabwe's failure to address continuing central bank quasi-fiscal losses has interfered with both monetary management and the independence and…
Debit card and cash usage: Cross-country analysis
This Chicago Fed Working Paper finds that while check usage declined and has almost disappeared in some countries, the stock of currency in circulation has not declined as fast.
Term structure transmission of monetary policy
Under bond-rate transmission of monetary policy, the authors of this Bank of Canada Working Paper show that a generalized Taylor Principle applies, in which the average anticipated path of policy responses to inflation is subject to a lower bound of…
Communicating monetary policy to financial markets
This European Central Bank article reviews the main effects of the ECB's external communication on monetary policy, with a focus on expert audiences in financial markets and the media.
Central bank autonomy: Lessons from global trends
The IMF Working Paper "Central bank autonomy: Lessons from global trends" calculates indexes of central bank autonomy (CBA) for 163 central banks as of end-2003, and comparable indexes for a subgroup of 68 central banks as of the end of the 1980s.
BoC paper on exchange rate regimes
The Bank of Canada Working Paper "Exchange rate regimes, globalisation, and the cost of capital in emerging markets" presents a multifactor asset pricing model for currency, bond, and stock returns for ten emerging markets.
Modelling payments systems: Literature review
In this Bank of Canada Working Paper the authors organize the literature on payments systems according to three general classes of modelling approaches, and compare those approaches in terms of their strengths and weaknesses.
BoE paper on migration and UK economy
Migration into the UK from EU accession countries continues to suppress inflationary and wage pressures, a working paper from the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee published Wednesday 11 April found.