United States
FOMC divided over July cut, minutes show
Some FOMC members worried by effect of rate cut on US financial stability
San Fran Fed’s Daly plays down recession fears
But there are still problems in labour market, president says in online Q&A
Kansas Fed develops real-time GDP tracker
The tracker builds on previous work by combining two forecast models
Anticipation of fiscal stimulus has ‘sizeable’ impact on growth – paper
Passing the 2018 US Bipartisan Budget Act increased GDP by 1%, researchers find
Fischer and Hildebrand call for emergency policy tools
Former central bank chiefs say existing monetary tools are “almost exhausted”
Trump attacks ‘horrendous lack of vision’ by Powell
President calls for return to crisis-era policies and acknowledges strong dollar is harming other economies
The Fed’s trade policy dilemma
FOMC should loosen, but members must speak out more forcefully against tariffs, writes Barry Eichengreen
Shale oil boom has not shifted global supply- ECB paper
Global oil supply appears to be “rather vertical” at all times, researchers find
Trump criticises ‘clueless Jay Powell’ as markets plunge
US equity markets face sell off and 30-year treasuries dip below 2% for first time
‘Animal spirits’ are real, DNB paper says
Researchers analyse data on household spending and consumer confidence
Central banking’s 30-year cycle
Central banking has hit another crossroads, writes Central Banking founder Robert Pringle
Derivatives users split over legacy Libor swaps
CCPs say cleared swaps will move to new rates if Libor is no longer representative of markets
IMF’s Adrian on the big tech threat and why a ‘non-system’ works
The IMF’s financial counsellor speaks about risks from big tech’s move into fintech, the fund’s efforts to craft well-targeted policy guidance and why the current international monetary ‘non-system’ works
NY Fed splits markets group and seeks two EVPs
Monetary policy implementation to be split from markets group after Potter’s departure
Former Fed chairs stress importance of central bank independence
President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticised chair Jerome Powell for keeping interest rates too high
The great wave: global liquidity in a turbulent world
Global imbalances are growing, and it is unclear whether the world’s institutions have enough firepower to respond to a crisis, writes Daniel Hinge
BoI paper uses shadow rates to measure influence of QE
Fed’s policy weakened dollar from 2011–14, researchers find
US Treasury designates China a currency manipulator
Renminbi crossed the barrier of seven per US dollar amid growing trade tensions on August 5
Fed aims for 24/7 instant payment system in US
FedNow Service should be available in 2023 or 2024, and Fed promises upgrade to existing systems
PBoC is navigating into uncharted waters on RMB
Beijing and its central bank need to think carefully and act responsibly as the renminbi is steered into uncharted waters
Powell says Fed will decide on 24/7 RTGS system ‘soon’
Fed under pressure to act amid flurry of legislative activity around payments
Hurricane forecasting has ‘significant effects’ on financial markets – Fed
Cutting forecast errors could reduce additional volatility, researchers say
Dallas Fed paper looks at impact of tech shocks
Researchers exploit forecast data for “more precise” identification of technology shocks
Trump says Powell ‘let us down’
US president calls for looser policy and criticises Fed as Powell gives no clues on future path