Opinion
A slow boat to yuan devaluation
This article says China is probably a decade away from a free floating yuan and full-blown capital liberalization. A more realistic option, it says, would be a two-stage program that involves a widening of the yuan trading band and the adoption of a…
Minneapolis Fed: Avoiding monetary policy mistakes
The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review December 2004 article 'Avoiding significant monetary policy mistakes' by Gary Stern and Preston Miller deduces properties of optimal monetary policies based on modern theory and standard empirical…
IMF gold sales - Why it will be a non-event
This article considers the idea of the IMF selling off some of its gold reserves and using it to give poor nations debt relief. It says the IMF should instead return the gold to member nations or at least use the gold as a reserve asset as it was meant…
Fed officials don't see China dropping peg soon
According to this article published Friday 11 February, Federal Reserve officials aren't optimistic that China will drop its currency peg against the dollar anytime soon with the decision in the hands of the State Council.
Fed's increase is case of perfect transparency
The FOMC's recent action to raise interest rates had been fully anticipated with not a single point move on the yield curve, from two years to 10 years. This article describes the move as a case of perfect transparency.
Does Europe need stability or flexibility?
After long fighting a weakening of the stability and growth pact, it now appears as if Brussels is willing to play along. This article looks at the expected revamp of the pact and asks whether it will hurt or help Europe's economy.
When monetary tools start to lose their edge
This article asks what central bankers do when their monetary tools begin to lose their edge. This may be a question that the Federal Reserve is having to address at the moment, it says. The Federal Reserve's challenge seems to be that the linkage…
Deficit triggers rumbling at Fed
George Bush's longtime honeymoon with the Federal Reserve may be ending, this article suggests. The new element is a rising concern at the Fed about the US budget deficit, which hit $413 billion in 2004; a low and declining national savings rate and…
PBOC, modelled on Fed, bows to politics
When China's top policy makers set out to streamline the country's 57-year-old central bank system six years ago, they chose the U.S. Federal Reserve as a model, this article says. But while the People's Bank may be gaining clout as China's economy grows…
A higher yuan: When, not if
Sooner or later, China will have to hike its currency against the dollar, this article argues. The peg which keeps the yuan's value fixed against the greenback, has been the 'bete noire' of U.S. manufacturers, who complain that it gives Beijing an unfair…
The Fed's muddled minutes
Drawing the correct conclusions from the Federal Reserve's minutes is tricky, according to this article. The minutes are meant to portray the nuanced discussions that led to the FOMC's policymaking statement. In that sense, the minutes can be said to…
IMF on interest-rate liberalization in China
A recently published article by two members of the IMF's China Division looks at the recent decision by the People's Bank of China to raise interest rates for the first time in nine years. The liberalization of rates is a landmark change, it says, and…
Rushed Fed minutes could use a good rewrite man
The Federal Reserve's decision to publish the minutes of its FOMC meetings with a three-week instead of a six-week lag seems to have sacrificed clarity for speed, according to this article. The thought processes reflected in the minutes come across as…
Norway's Gjedrem: 'Monetary policy is functioning'
In an article published by Aftenposten on 3 January, Norges Bank governor Svein Gjedrem said the Norwegian economy is growing at a solid pace, and there are prospects that growth will remain high in the year ahead.
A not-so-merry Christmas message
Giving the Henry Thornton lecture at the Cass Business School in London on Wednesday 15 December, the economic historian Barry Eichengreen gave his view on the international financial system, and issued a worrying warning to those that downplay the…
Bank of Japan, a role model for the ECB?
This article looks at recent comments from Gerhard Schroder that Europe "can learn something from Japan and its great monetary policy." Japan is the only major industrialized economy in the past 70 years to experience prolonged deflation and now its much…
Competing visions of EU regulation
At a conference in his honour at the London School of Economics, Tommaso Padoa-Schioppa and FSA chairman Callum McCarthy presented competing visions of financial regulation in Europe. Paul Brione reports.
Implementing Basel II in Europe
In Europe, the task of ensuring a smooth transition to the Basel II capital rules for banks falls on the new Committee of European Banking Supervisors (CEBS). Neil Courtis spoke to CEBS chairman, Jose Maria Roldan, for CentralBankNet.
China unlikely to revalue the yuan soon
Expectations for the revaluation of China's yuan have become a hot topic in and outside China since October. This article looks at the situation and includes recent comments from officials at the People's Bank of China and Premier Wen Jiabao.
Chasing dirty money
Ted Truman, a former senior official at the US Treasury and the Federal Reserve, has turned his focus on the fight against money laundering. Paul Brione reports for CentralBankNet.
Interview: Jacques de Larosière
Key European countries are guilty of “systematic slippage” in fiscal affairs. So says the former managing director of the IMF and governor of the Banque de France, Jacques de Larosière, in this week’s CentralBankNet Monday special
Devaluation dangers for the United States
Large cross-border holdings of foreign assets and liabilities mean that exchange rate adjustment has grown in importance relative to the traditional trade balance channel, argue the authors of a new CEPR discussion paper. The paper empirically explores…
The leak in China's banking system
The People's Bank of China's surprise decision to raise interest rates for the first time in nine years on 28 October prompted much speculation on the reason for the move. Some commentators said it marks the beginning of a liberalized interest-rate…