Opinion
Comment: Volatility returns
Before recovering somewhat this week, stock markets around the world from Bombay to New York to Sydney to Moscow took a beating last week and on Monday. Here is a quick look at some recent arguments on what this means for central bankers.
Comment: The BoE's 'brain on the plane'
David Blanchflower came out fighting Wednesday 24 May in an assured performance before the Treasury Select Committee. The appointment of the US-based academic to the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee has been controversial, but he maintains…
Comment: US 'break-even' inflation
News of a sudden increase in inflation fears has made headlines in recent weeks. In the case of the US, some have linked this to idea that new Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, is perceived as being too soft on inflation. What do the most recent estimates of…
Comment: Issing's parting shot
In his final speech before stepping down as chief economist and member of the executive board of the ECB, Otmar Issing yesterday said the adoption of the euro has prevented damaging currency speculation. He also admitted that he was somewhat of a "euro…
Comment: Safe hands for Fed No. 2 spot
US president George W. Bush opted for a safe pair of hands in the form of Donald Kohn to replace Roger Ferguson as No. 2 at the Fed. Kohn, a 36-year Fed veteran, will be both a countervailing and supplementary force to the more studious Ben Bernanke.
Comment: Emerging market jitters
Emerging markets equities, bonds and currencies have been under severe pressure over the last two weeks. The turning tide will leave a number of central banks uncomfortable, particularly as the favourable conditions of the last 2 and 3 years has actually…
Comment: Bank of Japan update
The Bank of Japan's monetary policy committee meets this week with an interest rate decision expected on Friday. With any ideas of an imminent rate hike all but ruled out, the emerging consensus is that the shift could come in July.
Comment: The commodity boom revisited
A recent research note by Morgan Stanley chief economist, Stephen Roach, provides some interesting numbers on the extent and historical significance of the current commodity boom.
Comment: Inflation expectations
Ever since Milton Friedman's famous analysis of the "leads and lags" between interest rate changes and price- and output movements in 1961, the need for "forward-looking" monetary policy has been universally accepted.
Comment: Flawed convergence criteria?
Willem Buiter and Anne Sibert, two London-based academics, have slammed the Maastricht criteria for entry into the eurozone. They point to a number of inconsistencies in way the conditions are applied and suggest that the current formulation "makes no…
Comment: US Treasury diplomacy
In what has been billed as a key moment in American economic diplomacy, the US Treasury this week resisted temptation and political pressure by deciding not to formally accuse China of currency manipulation.
Comment: Bank of England Inflation Report
British bond yields fell yesterday, despite an increase in the Bank of England's near-term inflation forecast. The Bank of England's latest Inflation Report also included a lower growth forecast for next year, which is expected to outweigh the effects of…
Comment: Weber reveals his monetary policy stance
Axel Weber set out his thinking on the role of monetary policy and interest rates in three recent speeches. This article explores his views.
Central banks should close the governance gap
Central banks seem reluctant to adopt private-sector “best practice” in governance, but there are benefits in doing so says Jeremy Foster
Comment:Government debt offices gear up for change
Government debt offices play a vital role in managing the cost and risk of government borrowing and in the development of the domestic financial system, but they are frequently overlooked. A recent survey looks at the trends towards concentrated…
Comment: Unravelling the RBA hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia has joined the world's leading central banks in tightening mode. Last week's rate rise was largely unexpected and opinion is split over how far the central bank will go in hiking rates this year.
Comment: Trichet sounds his warning
After having made it clear that an interest rate increase was highly unlikely, the ECB's monetary policy meeting this week was all about how to signal future rate hikes pencilled in for later this year. Jean-Claude Trichet's message yesterday, 3 May, was…
Comment: Global impacts of US monetary policy
A recent ECB working paper finds that emerging markets stock markets returns can be reduced by more than 10% in response to a 100 basis point increase in US monetary policy rates. On average global equity markets fall by 3.8%.
Comment: Bernanke slips up
Ben Bernanke has had to learn very fast indeed. An alleged "off the record" remark has triggered a frenzy in financial markets.
Comment: April in review
April was a particularly eventful month for the International Monetary Fund. The Fund concluded it "spring meeting" in Washington and published new editions of the Global Financial Stability Report and the World Economic Outlook.
Comment: 'Surprise' rate hike in China
The People's Bank of China yesterday raised its benchmark one-year lending rate to 5.85% from 5.58%. The move surprised analysts who had expected the authorities to stick to a combination of administrative measures and higher reserve requirements for…
Comments: Reserve diversification
Recent reports of the diversification official foreign exchange reserves in the Middle East have not gone unnoticed. Economists are starting to ask if the prospect of large-scale reserve diversification is back on the international agenda, following a…
Comment: Will the Fund's new approach matter?
Stephen Roach, managing director and chief economist of Morgan Stanley, suggests that the renewed debate on the role of the international financial institutions is missing questions that "should be near the top of the global agenda".