Data
ECB paper looks at Bayesian nowcasting
BVAR models have several advantages over Dynamic Factor Models, researchers say
Improvements in US consumer expectations halt in July
Households more pessimistic as Covid-19 continues to spread, New York Fed survey reveals
BIS stats show surge in cross-border lending during pandemic
Most of the money flowed to advanced economies and offshore centres, BIS says
Headline inflation to stray into negative territory, Bank of Thailand reports
Sharp decline in oil prices and government measures push forecast for headline inflation to -1.7%
Balancing data policies: what Covid-19 taught us
New rules are needed for data-sharing at a national and international level, write Theodoros Evgeniou, David Hardoon and Anton Ovchinnikov
Researchers test forward-looking uncertainty measures
BoE paper says the measures are likely to be useful for policy-making in the face of sudden shocks
Bank of Canada exploring alternative inflation measures – governor
Canadians feeling prices rising despite CPI being negative for two months, deputy governor says
Covid-19 hampers inflation measurement – Riksbank’s Ohlsson
Too soon to say whether consumption changes during pandemic will become permanent, official says
UK GDP growth plunges to -20% in April
Figure is worst on record, but may be somewhat better than earlier official estimates
Bank of Israel investigates carbon pricing
NGFS says global economy needs “green recovery” from pandemic
US consumers expect more fiscal support – New York Fed survey
Consumers assigned a 40% chance of more federal welfare benefits in next 12 months
BoE paper: mining newspaper text can boost forecasts
Authors design “powerful new method” of incorporating text information into macroeconomic forecasts
UK issues negative-yielding bond as inflation wilts
Inflation dropped sharply in April amid the coronavirus lockdown
RBI economists hunt for suitable core inflation measure
Study examines 11 candidates for a less volatile inflation measure that is easy to communicate
UK economy faces 30% contraction in Q2
NIESR estimate comes as official GDP figures show sharp decline in opening stages of lockdown
UK statisticians turn to online prices to cope with Covid-19 lockdown
Around 80% of prices are usually collected in person, forcing rethink of data gathering approach
Podcast: An interdisciplinary approach to Covid-19 surveying
FedSpeak talks with the Minneapolis Fed’s Abigail Wozniak on her new real-time survey combining social science and epidemiology
Charted: rush for dollar liquidity fades
Figures from central bank dollar repo facilities show waning demand, but outstanding swaps still high
BoE’s Proudman recommends data-gathering rethink
“Pull” model would be “revolutionary” but might come at too great a cost, official says
Statisticians grapple with inflation impact of Covid-19
Collecting reliable inflation figures during lockdown is not straightforward
Fed banks ramp up Covid-19 surveying
Real-time and weekly surveys reveal deepening economic fallout
Lowe tells Australians to prepare for biggest contraction since 1930s
Uncertainty and movement restrictions have hampered spending and increased unemployment
US must overhaul statistics to fight coronavirus – Minneapolis Fed paper
New methods, laws and cross-sector agreements are necessary to support real-time data analysis, research says
Covid-19 uncertainty to have long-lasting impact – SF Fed paper
Inflation may turn negative over the near and medium term, researchers estimate