Central Banks
Income is an important factor for housing demand in Turkey – paper
Profitability of housing investment in Turkey fell in 2003–14; Ceritoğlu suggests drop in home ownership is down to relative price changes
ECB paper calls for EU-wide bond-issuing agency
Authors propose the ECB and a bond issuer should work together to stimulate eurozone
ECB provides detail on stress-testing methods
Top-down approach helped supervisors challenge banks’ results, ECB says
Term premiums matter for inflation – BoJ paper
Term premiums domestically and abroad appear to affect inflation via the exchange rate channel, authors find
IMF economist builds agent-based banking system model
Model captures the diversity of agents and the use of rules of thumb; the author says the modular nature allows “straightforward” enhancements
Wheeler hits out at commercial bank for unforgiving commentary
RBNZ governor says commentary threatens its integrity, damaging the central bank and financial markets; former RBNZ official says Wheeler overreacting
Paper explores effects of capital controls on cost of international debt
Restrictions on capital inflows produce “substantial” corporate bond spreads but effects are mitigated for firms in EU or with English legal origins
Sarb monetary policy committee does not suffer from ‘groupthink’ – Kganyago
Sarb governor says there are often disagreements when it comes to policy decisions; central banks have now become “masters of communication”
Yellen told inflation target needs revising
Economists say current economic conditions call for a revision in the inflation target; Federal Reserve should appoint commission to advise on “path forward”
The ECB must reform Target2 to make it sustainable
Target2 has emerged as the eurozone’s financing entity for ballooning structural balance-of-payments gaps. The present system is unsustainable and needs reform, says Philip Turner
Cross-border deposit insurance would not be unfair – ECB article
Contributions to scheme should be on the basis of risk, researchers argue
Bank of Canada wary of hotter housing market
The central bank lists household indebtedness and regional price increases as two of its top concerns; Poloz says it is too early to say if more macro-pru needs to be implemented
BoE paper tackles multidimensional tail risk forecasting
Researchers set out method that can capture the multiple sources of risk feeding into a tail event and help understand how risks interact
Bahamian banknotes will feature three different substrates
The Caribbean nation is set to issue the highest denominations of its new series on a paper/polymer hybrid used by the Swiss National Bank; the new substrate offers a wider range of features
Riksbank unveils results of web-scraping project
The big data technique for collecting prices could better capture volatile inflation components, allowing for more accurate forecasts, economists say
Sarb’s Kahn: current conditions ‘do not bode well’ for economy
Kganyago’s advisor says political uncertainty is likely to continue throughout 2017 with no clear sign business or consumer confidence will improve
Inflation overshoot should affect adaptive part of expectations, says Kuroda
Bank of Japan governor says there is still a long way to go until the price stability target is achieved
UK election roundup: all eyes on Brexit negotiations
Economists react as UK vote delivers a hung parliament, casting doubt on the way forward with Brexit negotiations and causing a drop in the pound