Central Banks
Bank of Jamaica outlines plans to become ‘modern’ central bank
Initiatives to implement inflation-targeting framework and liberalise forex rate already under way; IMF says strengthening autonomy will help
Type of uncertainty matters for modelling – Norges Bank paper
Author develops method to “disentangle” various forms of uncertainty, finding they can have good and bad effects
Brazil stands out for ‘pioneering work’ in trade reporting – FSB
Peer review finds the South American nation has overcome many of the issues plaguing others, making it a leader among FSB jurisdictions
People: Pakistan and Uzbekistan appoint deputies; Bangladesh Bank names new chief economist
Jameel Ahmad promoted to deputy role at Pakistan central bank; former IMF mission chief appointed as chief economist at Bangladeshi central bank
Balance sheet not an ‘active’ policy tool for normal times, says Fed’s George
Reductions in Fed’s balance sheet should be on “autopilot”, says George; establishing a “sound framework” will be important
Riksbank cautious on plans for new macro-prudential tools
Central bank broadly welcomes government proposals but takes issue with elements it sees as limiting flexibility
Researchers find media sentiment towards Sifis gives valuable data on stress
Researchers find media sentiment towards Sifis gives valuable data on stress
Bank of Canada’s Vardy and Harrison on the move to ‘peacetime’ communications
Central bank has reshaped its communications approach post-crisis, embedding it into the policy process and encouraging markets to think for themselves
ESRB warns on housing market in 11 European countries
UK and Netherlands among countries with “unaddressed vulnerabilities”
Fed paper seeks better forecasts from information inefficiencies
Paper finds it is difficult to build a better forecast on the basis of deviations from rationality in surveys, implying such inefficiencies are not “economically meaningful”
IMF remains gloomy on Brexit as UK heads for snap election
Maurice Obstfeld admits IMF was overly pessimistic on consumer response to Brexit, but says supply shock could still bite; global outlook more positive
No ‘taper tantrum’ this time around – Fischer
Fed vice-chair says US central bank has learned from mistakes made in 2013; markets unlikely to face same disruptions as Fed unwinds balance sheet, says Fischer
Volatile housing market puts RBA under pressure
Variations in housing growth and prices ramp up risk to financial stability, RBA minutes show; regulator to consider further measures “if needed”
Reserve managers see politics shaping currency allocations
European political uncertainty weakens confidence in euro, with sterling pressured by Brexit; dollar’s popularity resurgent, despite Trump’s economic policies
Paper examines how sticky investment prices affect DGSE model
Findings bring the model in line with growth accounting exercises, the researcher says
BoJ paper sketches ‘vicious circle’ behind productivity traps
“Lacklustre” economic reforms and firms’ unwillingness to innovate may create a “negatively reinforcing” loop, the authors warn
Belarus gives central bank price stability mandate
Presidential decree follows overture to IMF and protests over economy
Brazil central bank steps up pace of rate cuts
Inflation outlook “favourable” with target likely to be achieved by 2018; government pursuing tough fiscal reform
China forex reserves inch higher in March
PBoC figures show increase of $3.96 billion, resulting in second consecutive monthly reading above $3 trillion
Central Bank of Iceland picks SIA for payments overhaul
RTGS revamp will see a single system handle both high- and low-value payments; Italy-headquartered SIA wins contract
DLT not ‘mature enough’ for eurozone usage, ECB says
ECB’s annual report explores progress with distributed ledger technology, emphasising it is still in its infancy; DLT could eventually be used for Europe’s payment and securities settlement systems
Little EME volatility spillover from Fed/ECB balance sheets
Central bank policies had little impact on volatility in EMEs’ real markets – researchers
Lower rates link to higher exchange rate impact – BIS paper
Working paper finds monetary policy’s impact on the exchange rate has grown as rates have fallen
Monetary policy has inevitable fiscal effects – Willem Buiter
Former Bank of England official rails against fiscal theory of the price level in speech to RBI, but says monetary policy still cannot escape its fiscal dimension