Monetary Policy
ECB will look afresh at policy this autumn – Draghi
Draghi says recovery is continuing, but strikes a cautious note on inflationary pressures
Sarb takes action amid ‘extremely weak’ demand
Central bank revises down its forecasts as economic situation deteriorates; governor warns of possible cliff effect if there are further rating downgrades
Bank of Japan cuts inflation forecast as policy remains on hold
The BoJ cuts its forecast for prices as it struggles to hit its inflation target; keeps policy steady
Verbs matter in forward guidance – Italian paper
Researchers look at verbs used in ECB statements from 2002 to 2015
IMF praises Madagascar’s approach to monetary framework change
Madagascan central bank to introduce overnight deposit facility to form basis of an interest rate corridor; fund notes effects of vanilla bean shock still being felt by banks
The BoJ’s exit policy and balance sheet risks
The Bank of Japan will need to follow a meticulous sequencing of events as its ‘normalises’ monetary policy, making current concerns about negative equity appear premature
Australia’s neutral rate of interest is around 3.5% – RBA minutes
RBA minutes show hawkish slant compared with policy statement released earlier this month; central bank estimates neutral rate has fallen 150 basis points
Fed paper: portfolio holdings have ‘statistically significant’ effect on rates
Research studies composition of Fed’s Treasury portfolio and impact on yields from 1985-2016
IMF continues building up Somali central bank
Planned currency reform should give the central bank the ability to implement monetary policy
Draghi, quo vadis?
Jesper Berg warns the eurozone's improved outlook creates a host of problems for the ECB, as it must balance competing demands
Policy mix has important implications for spillovers – Fed’s Brainard
Fed governor says degree of divergence between central banks and choice of policy tool affects the exchange rate impact and therefore spillovers
BIS paper seeks hints that Swiss franc floor was about to break
Measures derived from option prices indicate credibility fell before floor was removed; error correction model shows some improvement over random walk
Kganyago says public protector’s response was ‘not good enough’
Response to central bank’s challenge exposed Mkhwebane’s “own lack of competency”, Sarb governor says, reiterating that the central bank’s mandate should be “left alone”
BoJ ups asset purchases to curb bond market pressure
The Bank of Japan has increased the size of JGB purchase operation and announced unlimited purchases of 10-year JGBs at a fixed rate of 0.11%
Credibility essential to Central Bank of Brazil success, says IMF
Further changes to the central bank’s inflation target could limit future policy space, fund advises, praising improved transparency of communications
Bank of Canada hikes for first time in seven years
Bank of Canada becomes the latest advanced economy central bank to hike as the economy proves robust and inflation moves towards target