The perilous road to normality

Warning sign

Once again, central banks find themselves in a bind. 

The desire to end potentially distortionary crisis-fighting measures, the need to tackle inflation as economies heat up and the desire for more room to handle the next crisis point to the need for tighter – more ‘normal’ – policy. But high debt levels mean acting too hard or too fast risks triggering a crisis. There is already evidence of a real risk of causing a crisis in some emerging markets (EMs). And others – particularly fiscal

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