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Fed's Ferguson on recessions and recoveries

In a speech on 'Recessions and recoveries associated with asset-price movements: What do we know?' given on 12 January, Roger Ferguson of the Federal Reserve said detecting asset-price overvaluations and undervaluations is controversial in hindsight and arguably impossible in real time.

"As a result, although asset-price booms and busts are often linked to recessions, a clear-cut policy response to suspected waves of exuberance cannot be suggested," he said.

"Asset-price-bust recessions do not

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