Malawian paper considers impact of output gap on inflation


A research paper published by the Reserve Bank of Malawi today (December 10) highlights the "unpredictable link" between supply side shocks and inflation within the Malawian economy.

The authors, Mark Lungu, Wytone Jombo and Austin Chiumia, attempt to determine the size of the output gap in Malawi, and examine its relationship with inflation dynamics. The authors employ three techniques: a linear time trend, the Hodrick-Prescott filter and the structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model.


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