Phillips Curve on Inflation - Toss a coin instead

RESEARCH - Andrew Atkeson and Lee E. Ohanian of the Research Department of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis have published an article in the Winter 2001 edition of the Bank's Quarterly Review. The article is titled 'Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?'.

ABSTRACT

This study evaluates the conventional wisdom that modern Phillips curve-based models are useful tools for forecasting inflation. These models are based on the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (the

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