Riksbank early warning indicator signals high risks

Sveriges Riksbank
Sveriges Riksbank. Photo: David Lundberg
David Lundberg

Financial fragility is currently as high in Sweden as it was at the time of the 2008 financial crisis, according to a new early warning indicator (EWI) developed by economists at Sveriges Riksbank.

"The EWI, calibrated using our favourite default parameters, is roughly as high today as in 1990 and 2008, indicating a high level of systemic financial fragility, while the standard credit gap is below mean and hence signals no risk," say Paolo Giordani, Erik Spector and Xin Zhang in a commentary

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