Monetary Policy
Fed’s Mester calls for more work on monetary policy and financial stability nexus
Loretta Mester sets out three priorities for research on the consumer credit markets in the United States at conference in Philadelphia
IMF encourages Tonga to adopt ‘reference rate’ for inflation
IMF recommends the National Reserve Bank of Tonga adopt a reference rate of 3.5%; central bank says it needs to analyse the appropriate level before making the jump
Romanian governor calls for adjustments before joining ERM II
Mugur Isărescu says aim of adopting euro in January 2019 is ‘highly ambitious’ on account of the reforms necessary to ensure sustainable convergence
Impact of Fed’s QE often larger in EMs than US, research finds
IMF working paper examines cross-border effects of unconventional monetary policy in the United States using a global vector error-correction model
Longer-term inflation expectations pick up in eurozone
In its latest economic bulletin the European Central Bank shows how some measures of expectations, including the five-year inflation-linked swap rate five years ahead, are recovering
BIS economists say investor behaviour key to understanding EM challenges
Hyun Song Shin and Philip Turner consider implications of shift in financial intermediation for emerging markets; part of wider Banque de France review on the subject
Bank of Japan cuts inflation forecast
BoJ retains asset purchases at current levels and says underlying inflation is rising steadily; expects to hit target in second half of 2016
Riksbank ramps up QE
Asset purchase programme doubled but unexpected rate hold sees krona move higher; Riksbank highlights both signs of recovery and rising financial stability risks in new monetary policy report
Norges Bank’s Olsen backs ‘leaning against the wind’
Øystein Olsen presents evidence in favour of using monetary policy to lean against financial imbalances, which he says smooths inflation and output in the long run
Singapore inflation to ease before rising at end of 2015
CPI inflation could be negative on a year-on-year basis for consecutive months, which MAS says reflects ‘falling car prices, housing rentals, and costs of oil-related items’
RBA paper finds only weak support for sticky information Phillips curve
Paper provides ‘first estimates’ of a sticky information Phillips curve for Australia, finding the curve fits poorly with the inflation-targeting era but better in earlier years
Carstens expects Mexican inflation to end year at 3% target
Bank of Mexico governor expects inflation to end the year at 3% target, but does not rule out an interest rate increase if prices start to rise due to a weaker peso
Riksbank seeks greater clarity with redesigned monetary policy report
Shorter report aims to focus more on analysis and less on detailed data reporting, with new layout to boost readability; head of forecasting says design process drew on years of feedback
SNB’s Danthine: traders wrong to paint Swiss franc surge as black swan
It was 'absolutely certain' that SNB would end Swiss franc floor, says vice-chair of the governing board
RBNZ hires monetary policy advisers as inflation drops to 15-year low
Graeme Wheeler says advisers ‘bring fresh viewpoints'; assistant governor says monetary policy can do little to influence inflation outcomes in ‘near term'
BoE minutes remind markets not to be complacent
Minutes show MPC firmly positioned for coming rate hike; economists suggest central bank may be warning markets they have overestimated willingness for easing
Central banks of Colombia and Peru expect bond impact from Fed rate hike
Even though markets are already anticipating a Fed interest rate hike, it will still have an impact on bond markets and asset prices, the governors of the central banks of Colombia and Peru argue
Greece raids local authorities for cash as repayments loom
Local authorities instructed to transfer cash balances to treasury accounts at the Bank of Greece; Constâncio says default would not ‘automatically’ push country out of the eurozone
Kuroda calls for deeper understanding of expectations
Bank of Japan governor wants increased awareness of the mechanism through which inflation expectations are formed to help the design of monetary policy
PBoC steps up support with reserve ratio cuts
People’s Bank of China cuts the ratio for the second time this year, with observers pointing to pressure on the monetary base from foreign exchange outflows as a motivating factor
Mexican deputy tells EMs to assume US rate hike coming ‘sooner rather than later’
Javier Guzmán Calafell advises emerging markets to prepare ‘as fast as possible for a worst-case scenario’ in anticipation of the Federal Reserve tightening policy later this year
Carstens-led IMFC urges policy-makers ‘to attenuate’ spillovers and spillbacks
Fund calls for ‘careful calibration’ of policy normalisation; endorses use of capital controls as a last resort
Europe/US policy divergence ‘good news’ for monetary system, says top central banker
Spill-overs should not be a factor in monetary policy decisions; precedents for European and US policy to diverge, says top-level European central banker
Praet says onus on governments to ensure permanent recovery
Accommodative monetary policy is ’playing a key role’ in helping return inflation to target, argues Peter Praet, member of the ECB executive board