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Central banks complement traditional models with AI

Time series and semi-structural models remain economists’ choices for forecasting

The majority of central banks use traditional modelling tools for macroeconomic analysis, but most economics departments now complement the tools with machine learning/artificial intelligence, the Economics Benchmarks 2026 reveal.

For this benchmark, larger central banks are respondents with over the median workforce of 795 officials. Sixteen central banks fall in this category, while 15 others make up smaller central banks.

Four-fifths of larger central banks indicated they make use of AI for

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