Growth
US growth trend could fall for the next 10 years, SF Fed paper warns
Productivity slowdown in construction has contributed 30% of slowdown since 1950s, researchers find
Riksbank warns of rising financial stability risks in Sweden
Global economic slowdown and continued low rates may encourage greater risk-taking
Poloz: AI revolution calls for looser policy
Central banks can take lessons from Greenspan’s policy during IT revolution, governor says
Bank of Mexico implements third rate cut of easing cycle
Divided board decides to lower key rate by 25bp to 7.5%; two board members voted for a 50bp cut
Dominican Republic faces monetary policy trade-off – IMF paper
Researchers say financial system is healthy, but central bank faces hard choices over policy
SBP looks back on tough year for Pakistan
Lack of fiscal consolidation hampered central bank’s crisis response, annual report says
Hong Kong cuts interest rates as economy enters recession
HKMA eases for the third time following Fed move, prompting banks to cut lending rates for the first time since 2008; economy contracts sharply in third quarter
Brazil cuts rates to new record low as inflation drops
Rater-setters reduce key Selic rate by 50 basis points to 5%
Fed reduces rates but signals pause
Current stance of policy “likely to remain appropriate” to sustain moderate expansion, Powell says
Bank of Canada on hold but watching economy’s ‘resilience’
Governing council says economy is likely to be “tested” by trade conflict and uncertainty
Interview: Seth Carpenter on the US outlook, trade and a ‘disingenuous’ Fed
UBS chief US economist and former Fed director of monetary affairs sees a gloomy outlook for first half of 2020
Argentinian central bank struggles to stabilise peso ahead of elections
International reserves have fallen by 29% since opposition leader defeated president Macri in primary vote on August 11
Indonesia cuts rates for fourth time this year
Indonesia has cut a total of 100bp in the latest cycle; more cuts are possible but depend on Fed move and rupiah stability
Bundesbank: Germany may have entered recession
Report says manufacturing output fell markedly in the third quarter, despite domestic resilience
King calls for radical shake-up to escape ‘low-growth trap’
Central bank models fail to appreciate demand-side secular stagnation; IMF could help to drive country-specific policies to reallocate resources
ECB monetary policy statements should change – Italian governor
Visco rejects idea of putting names to votes as eurozone governors differ on inflation policy
Tackling ‘dead-end’ monetary policy
A shift to lower inflation targets would help central banks escape forever-loose monetary policy, writes former IMF chief Jacques de Larosière
IMF warns of ‘synchronised slowdown’ as it cuts forecasts
Fund revises down growth prospects for 2019–20 and calls for action on financial vulnerabilities
MAS makes rare policy tweak amid slowing global economy
MAS targets slower appreciation of Singapore dollar, the first such easing in more than three years
There are better ways to solve China trade dispute – Atlanta Fed economist
It is “underappreciated” that the Chinese currency is devalued, Tao Zha says
Chances of US recession ‘notably increased’, FOMC members say
Fed rate-setters worried by trade and political uncertainty and weaker manufacturing, minutes show
Bank of Uganda implements 100bp rate cut
Rate setters think below-target inflation offers opportunity to support economic growth
Minneapolis Fed president calls for more cuts
Kashkari says cuts would support the economy, but he is unsure how low rates needs to go
Central bankers without clothes and clout
The focus on the latest actions by central banks is disproportional to their impact on the economy. Without normalisation, central bankers may be revealed to have no clout, writes Jesper Berg