Central Banking
Term premiums matter for inflation – BoJ paper
Term premiums domestically and abroad appear to affect inflation via the exchange rate channel, authors find
IMF economist builds agent-based banking system model
Model captures the diversity of agents and the use of rules of thumb; the author says the modular nature allows “straightforward” enhancements
Wheeler hits out at commercial bank for unforgiving commentary
RBNZ governor says commentary threatens its integrity, damaging the central bank and financial markets; former RBNZ official says Wheeler overreacting
Paper explores effects of capital controls on cost of international debt
Restrictions on capital inflows produce “substantial” corporate bond spreads but effects are mitigated for firms in EU or with English legal origins
Sarb monetary policy committee does not suffer from ‘groupthink’ – Kganyago
Sarb governor says there are often disagreements when it comes to policy decisions; central banks have now become “masters of communication”
Yellen told inflation target needs revising
Economists say current economic conditions call for a revision in the inflation target; Federal Reserve should appoint commission to advise on “path forward”
The ECB must reform Target2 to make it sustainable
Target2 has emerged as the eurozone’s financing entity for ballooning structural balance-of-payments gaps. The present system is unsustainable and needs reform, says Philip Turner
Cross-border deposit insurance would not be unfair – ECB article
Contributions to scheme should be on the basis of risk, researchers argue
Bank of Canada wary of hotter housing market
The central bank lists household indebtedness and regional price increases as two of its top concerns; Poloz says it is too early to say if more macro-pru needs to be implemented
BoE paper tackles multidimensional tail risk forecasting
Researchers set out method that can capture the multiple sources of risk feeding into a tail event and help understand how risks interact
Bahamian banknotes will feature three different substrates
The Caribbean nation is set to issue the highest denominations of its new series on a paper/polymer hybrid used by the Swiss National Bank; the new substrate offers a wider range of features
Riksbank unveils results of web-scraping project
The big data technique for collecting prices could better capture volatile inflation components, allowing for more accurate forecasts, economists say
Sarb’s Kahn: current conditions ‘do not bode well’ for economy
Kganyago’s advisor says political uncertainty is likely to continue throughout 2017 with no clear sign business or consumer confidence will improve
Inflation overshoot should affect adaptive part of expectations, says Kuroda
Bank of Japan governor says there is still a long way to go until the price stability target is achieved
UK election roundup: all eyes on Brexit negotiations
Economists react as UK vote delivers a hung parliament, casting doubt on the way forward with Brexit negotiations and causing a drop in the pound
Draghi flags wage weakness as he defends easing measures
“Very substantial” accommodation still needed, says ECB president; central bank is devoting resources to understanding low wage growth
Obstfeld and Taylor back dual trilemma global finance theory
Economists still need to better incorporate financial stability into their thinking, the authors argue, with the concept of a financial trilemma helping to explain recent instability
RBNZ consults on DTI limits with full macro-pru review scheduled for 2018
Central bank evaluates benefits of limit and how it would interact with current macro-pru policies; consultation offers reassurance to households about welfare costs
Filipinos lack knowledge to make “informed” saving decisions – Tetangco
Survey results highlight the need for improved financial education programme; Philippines central bank to “enhance” outreach initiatives
Former PNG governor accuses institution of ‘fuelling corruption’
Morauta says central bank has become “inanimate puppet” in government game whereby it continues to fund the growing deficit
People: Trump names Otting for OCC job; Sri Lankan assistant governor promoted
People: Trump names Otting for OCC job subject to Senate approval; Sri Lankan assistant governor promoted to deputy role; Barbados appoints acting deputy; and more
Swedish clearing system puts infrastructure at risk – Riksbank
“Inflexible” system could damage the conduct of monetary policy, the Swedish central bank says; banks should consider other options
Surprise policy announcements impact cash demand and consumption - paper
Unanticipated policy announcements can significantly reduce a consumer's monthly ATM withdrawals
Culture has ‘significant’ effect on Swiss saving – paper
Researcher uses data from linguistically different Swiss groups