Research
Effect of booming economy on US trade deficit
RESEARCH PAPER - The robust growth of the U.S. economy between 1996 and 1999 spurred U.S. demand for foreign goods and contributed to a surge in the U.S. trade deficit. An analysis by the New York Fed of the effects of the expansion on the trade balance…
Currency crisis in emerging markets - predictable?
RESEARCH PAPER - Brazil and Argentina are among the countries most vulnerable to a currency crisis, according to a new model developed by a Dutch central bank economist which had been flashing warning signals about Turkey back in December 2000.
Currency crises and foreign reserves-IMF paper
RESEARCH PAPER - In a new IMF working paper, economist Piti Disyatat asks how far a government will run down its currency reserves in defence of a fixed exchange rate. He also uses an optimizing model of currency crisis to determine whether or not a…
On the Long and Short of Central Bank Independence
This paper by Alberto Musalem of the International Monetary Fund finds that higher central bank independence increases fiscal discipline and results in lower inflation. However, it finds that higher central bank independence does not necessarily lead to…
Central banks use GSE debt to adjust portfolio-BIS
Central banks appear to be increasingly using agency securities in lieu of Treasurys to make necessary adjustments to their portfolios, the Bank for International Settlements said in a report released on Mar 5, 2001.
Financial crises in emerging markets-NY Fed paper
Terrence J. Checki and Ernest Stern from the New York Fed have written a paper "Financial Crises in the Emerging Markets: The Roles of the Public and Private Sectors" in Current Issues in Economics and Finance. This article examines some of the key…
Impact of macro news announcements on exch rates
Andrew Clare and Roger Courtenay from the Bank of England have written an interesting paper titled "Assessing the impact of macroeconomic news announcements on securities prices under different monetary policy regimes". The study investigates whether the…
Contribution of IT to productivity growth-BoJ
Yoshihito Saito from the Bank of Japan International Department has written a paper "The Contribution of Information Technology to Productivity Growth-International Comparison". This paper examines the following: (1) the contribution of IT to labor…
Determinants of problem banks in Indonesia-paper
Dr. Wimboh Santoso, senior researcher at directorate of banking research and regulations at Bank Indonesia, has conducted an empirical study on the "Determinants of Problem Banks in Indonesia". The main aim of this paper is to provide general information…
Currency boards: More than a quick fix?-journal
In the latest issue of the journal Economic Policy, Atish R. Ghosh and Anne-Marie Gulde from the International Monetary Fund, and Holger C. Wolf of George Washington University and NBER have written a paper "Currency boards: More than a quick fix?" This…
Central bank independence in transition economies
In the latest issue of the journal The Economics of Transition Wojciech S. Maliszewski from the London School of Economics has written a paper about "Central bank independence in transition economies". The paper discusses recent changes in central bank…
Information technology and central banking-papers
Bank of Japan and EMEAP held a high-level workshop on development of information technology and central banking from October 2-3, 2000. As well as looking at the impact of IT on the economy as a whole, the executive director of the Bank of Japan,…
Singapore's Exchange Rate Policy - paper
This paper examines Singapore's experience with the exchange-rate based monetary policy system since its adoption in the early 1980s. It discusses the movements in the Singapore dollar exchange rate over the past two decades, and considers how the system…
Using credit risk models for regulatory capital
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York has a highly topical article in its forthcoming Economic Policy Review called "Using Credit Risk Models for Regulatory Capital: Issues and Options," by Beverly J. Hirtle, Mark Levonian, Marc Saidenberg, Stefan Walter,…
The EMS crisis in retrospect-Eichengreen
This Centre for Economic and Policy Research discussion paper by Barry Eichengreen reconsiders the 1992/3 crisis in the European Monetary System in light of its emerging market successors. That episode was a predecessor of the Mexican and Asian crises in…
Fiscal Federalism & European Integration-Gramlich
US Federal Reserve governor Edward M. Gramlich and Fed economist Paul R. Wood write the latest International Finance Discussion Paper titled "Fiscal Federalism and European Integration: Implications for Fiscal and Monetary Policies".
Information flows during Asian crisis-BIS paper
In a BIS working paper "Information flows during the Asian crisis: Evidence from closed-end funds" Benjamin H Cohen and Eli M Remolona look at the collapse of Asian stock markets that took place over several months in 1997 and ask what information was…
Case for Eurozone monetary indicators? - Svensson
In a Bank for International Settlements working paper "Money and inflation in the Euro Area: A case for monetary indicators?" Stefan Gerlach and Lars E O Svensson find that the "real money gap" (the gap between current real balances and long-run…
Int'l Liquidity Illusion: Risks of Sterilization
Ricardo J. Caballero and Arvind Krishnamurthy from the National Bureau of Economic Research have written a paper "International Liquidity Illusion: On the Risks of Sterilization". This paper argues that sterlisation of capital inflows is ineffective when…
Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work?-Kaplan
Ethan Kaplan and Dani Rodrik from the National Bureau of Economic Research have written an article "Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work?" Compared to IMF programs, the authors find that the Malaysian policies produced faster economic recovery,…
'Banking Crises in Emerging Markets'-Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen and Carlos Arteta from the University of California have written an article "Banking Crises in Emerging Markets: Presumptions and Evidence". Using a large sample of data, the authors find that robust causes of emerging-market banking…
Central Bank Seigniorage: Czech Republic 1993-1997
Jacek Cukrowski from the CERGE-EI and Emil Stavrev from the Czech National Bank have written an article "Central Bank Seigniorage: Czech Republic 1993-1997". The authors present a new comprehensive framework for measuring total gross seigniorage and its…
EMU and Enlargement: A Review of Policy Issues
Lucio Vinhas de Souza (Erasmus University Rotterdam), Holger van Eden (NEI), Albert de Groot (NEI), Gerbert Romijn (NEI) and Elisabeth Ledrut (Dutch Central Bank) have co-authored a report "EMU and Enlargement: A Review of Policy Issues". This report is…
Card-based payment systems in US and Japan-IMES
Ronald J. Mann, a visiting scholar at the Bank of Japan, has written a paper entitled "Card-based payment systems in the United States and Japan". He explains why credit and debit cards have so far proved unsuccessful in Japan compared to the US, and…