Tobias Adrian
Rethinking the CCyB
As central banks rush to replenish bank capital reserves, the countercyclical buffer may need some fine-tuning

Monetary policy ‘increasingly synchronised’, say IMF officials
Very few central banks have bucked the global trend since the start of the pandemic

IMF stresses inflation risks may rise further
In such a case, central banks will need to be more resolute in securing price stability

War forcing central banks into ‘delicate balancing act’, says IMF
Sudden repricing of risk could expose vulnerabilities, fund says in latest stability report
Covid-19, crypto and climate weigh on global economy – GFSR
“Intertemporal trade-offs” a challenge as some nations will not regain pre-Covid growth for “many years”, says IMF’s Adrian
Crypto asset transactions hit ‘macro critical levels’ – IMF GFSR
Crypto valuations “already systemic” in “many countries”, says IMF’s Adrian
Policy-makers debate central banks’ role in tackling climate change
Some see central banks as important co-ordinators; others warn they could overreach
Don’t dismiss inflation risks but don’t overreact, say central bankers
Sbordone, Smets and Vlieghe weigh up challenges for central banks in the “return towards normal”
Rising rates could endanger emerging market recovery, IMF warns
“Divergent recovery” likely to create financial stability challenges, report says
New monetary frameworks involve risk trade-offs – IMF’s Adrian
Lower-for-longer rates may help to avoid deflation, but could contribute to medium-term volatility
Private sector partnerships could be the key to CBDC survival – IMF research
Central banks may find it “challenging” to keep up with pace of technological change
IMF warns of possible market correction
Withdrawal of central bank support might trigger shock, say Tobias Adrian and Fabio Natalucci
Banking sector resilience ‘likely to be tested’ – IMF’s Adrian
Fund’s stability report says vulnerabilities are high and rising, creating difficult policy choices
Knot warns deviations from global standards must be temporary
“If the US starts distancing itself from international standards, that is quite something,” says Dutch central bank chief
Fears rise over breakdown in Basel and IFRS standards
Bretton Woods institutions worried about growing divergence in capital and accounting rules
Financial resilience may be tested further by Covid-19 – IMF
“Sudden stop” in credit markets could feed back to real economy, and requires a “forceful response”
IMF seeks to improve ‘climate stress tests’
Effort hampered by lack of good data and failure to develop “green taxonomy” – IMF officials
Macroeconomics is not broken
The discipline has moved beyond the neoclassical synthesis. Critics should too
Croatian governor warns ECB spillovers are raising real estate prices
IMF should advise less separation between macro-prudential and monetary tools, Boris Vujčić says
30 years of central banking
Central banks face credibility tests on a number of fronts
Central banks face loss of independence – Central Banking survey
Cyber risks and lax supervision are biggest threats to financial stability
IMF has no back-up plan to Fed swap lines
Financial counsellor says no plans in the works for emergency dollar funding backstop
IMF sets up new monetary policy modelling unit
Fund responds to criticism from IEO report
IMF’s Adrian on the big tech threat and why a ‘non-system’ works
IMF’s financial counsellor talks about efforts for the fund to craft well-targeted policy guidance