ECB researchers analyse expert forecasters' predictive abilities

European Central Bank at night

A team of researchers at the European Central Bank (ECB) has put out a working paper analysing the usefulness of predictions made in the ECB's periodical Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), promising "a number of findings of relevance to central banks, and others, making use of SPF results to inform their decisions".

The paper, entitled Can macroeconomists forecast risk? Event-based evidence from the euro area SPF, and written by Geoff Kenny, Thomas Kostka and Federico Maseraand, finds

Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.

To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact [email protected] or view our subscription options here:

You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact [email protected] to find out more.

To continue reading...

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Central Banking account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account here: