Monetary Policy
Australian central bank holds rates, but governor warns of future rises
Board members confident about effects of tighter Fed policy and possible trade disputes
Chile’s central bank says recovery is strengthening
GDP grows 5.3% year-on-year as central bank holds policy rates for 15 months
Bank of Mexico board unsure about new government’s fiscal policies
Board members said uncertain policies of incoming government may alter domestic demand
Fed may have to speed up rate rises, Australian governor warns
Philip Lowe says fiscal stimulus could lead to US inflation growing faster than expected
Brian Wynter on Jamaica’s inflation-targeting transition
Jamaican governor says the end of fiscal dominance plus the creation of a two-way forex market and an effective interest rate policy mechanism essential for “full-fledged” inflation target
BdF paper looks at ‘hawks, doves and swingers’
Education and economic conditions at birth shape the views of FOMC members, argues the paper
Norges Bank holds rates as inflation stays below target
Norwegian governor said in March he expected next rate hike to come “after summer”
Foreign monetary policy affects French and Italian lending – researchers
US policy especially significant, Banque de France paper finds
Policies must change to stop emerging markets crisis, analysts say
Tariffs, Fed policy and renminbi devaluation are stressing weaker currencies, say observers
Indonesian central bank hikes rates as global volatility hits rupiah
Forex interventions cut reserves by 11% between January and July 2018
Turkish central bank raises overnight rates in bid to stop lira’s fall
Move comes despite president Erdoğan’s hostility to rate hikes; banking authority also acts
Negative policy rates increases risk-taking by high-deposit banks - ECB paper
Eurozone banks with high deposit levels have changed lending patterns since 2014, say researchers
James Bullard on 2% rates, tariffs and Fed leadership
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis speaks about the impact of US trade policies, the disruption to the banking industry from Silicon Valley, shrinking the Fed balance sheet and the potential for agent-based modelling
Uganda keeps rates on hold despite rising core inflation
Policy necessary to ensure “sustainable growth”, governor says
Argentinian central bank takes drastic action over currency crisis
BCRA hikes key rate by 500 basis points and pledges major forex and debt changes
Weak inflation keeps rates at record low in Israel
Bureau of statistics revised economic forecasts upwards in the face of solid growth
The perilous road to normality
Many central banks are starting to tighten policy, but their room for error is limited and their final destination unclear. What more can they do?
Trump and Erdoğan: cut from the same populist cloth
Barry Eichengreen compares the respective strongmen of the US and Turkey, as the latter country spirals towards crisis
US stimulus could accelerate policy normalisation – IMF research
Higher growth could increase imbalances and fuel calls for more protectionism
Trade uncertainty keeps Bank of Mexico on hold
Central bank leaves interest rates at 7.75%; revises up inflation expectations
Philippines central bank makes biggest hike of 2018
Central bank raises interest rates by 50bp on the back of mounting inflation pressures