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Tech-driven global growth vulnerable to shocks, IMF warns

Sharp market corrections could ensue if productivity gains from AI do not meet expectations

International Monetary Fund Headquarters 2, Washington, DC
The International Monetary Fund
John Harrington

The resilient global growth seen in 2025 was driven by investment in technology and could be derailed if the expected productivity gains are not realised, the International Monetary Fund has said.

In its latest update to the World Economic Outlook (WEO), published today (January 19), the IMF notes that the global economy has been “remarkedly resilient”. It projects global growth of 3.3% in 2026, a slight upward revision on the forecast in the WEO published in October.

However, the fund says growth

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